China XD Plastics Co (China XD Plastics Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 03, 2024)

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What is China XD Plastics Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China XD Plastics Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

China XD Plastics Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

China XD Plastics Co (OTCPK:CXDC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

China XD Plastics Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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China XD Plastics Co (China XD Plastics Co) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » China XD Plastics Co Ltd (OTCPK:CXDC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Number 9 Dalian North Road, Haping Road Centralized Industrial Park, Harbin Development Zone, Heilongjiang, CHN, 150060

Website

http://www.chinaxd.net

China XD Plastics Co Ltd manufactures special plastic material that is used for automobiles. Its product offering includes automobile exteriors, interiors and other components such as air conditioner casing, heating and ventilation casing, engine covers and air ducts which marketed are predominantly sold in China.

Executives

Dahe Zhang	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	500 5TH AVENUE, SUITE 4120, NEW YORK NY 10110
Jie Han	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	NO 9 QINLING RD, YINGBIN RD, CENTRALIZED IND PARK, HARBIN DEVELP CTR HEILONGJIANG F4 150078
Qingwei Ma	officer: Chief Operating Officer	NO 9 QINLING RD, YINGBIN RD, CENTRALIZED IND PARK, HARBIN DEVELP CTR HEILONGJIANG F4 150078
Faith Dawn Ltd	10 percent owner	NO. 9 DALIAN NORTH ROAD HAPING ROAD CENTRALIZED INDUSTRIAL PARK HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 00000
Faith Abundant Ltd	10 percent owner	NO. 9 DALIAN NORTH ROAD HAPING ROAD CENTRALIZED INDUSTRIAL PARK HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 00000
Guanbao Huang	director	NO. 9 DALIAN N RD, HAPING RD CEN IND PK HARBIN DEVELOPMENT ZONE HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150060
Huiyi Chen	director	NO. 9 DALIAN N RD, HAPING RD CEN IND PK HARBIN DEVELOPMENT ZONE HEILONGJIANG PROVINCE F4 150060
Junjie Ma	officer: Chief Technology Officer	NO 9 QINLING RD, YINGBIN RD, CENTRALIZED IND PARK, HARBIN DEVELP CTR HEILONGJIANG F4 150078
North Haven Private Equity Asia Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
North Haven Private Equity Asia Employee Investors Iii, L.p.	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Ms Holdings Inc	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Morgan Stanley Private Equity Asia Iii Holdings (cayman) Ltd	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	C/O WALKERS CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED WALKER HOUSE, 87 MARY STREET GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9005
Morgan Stanley Private Equity Asia Iii, L.l.c.	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Morgan Stanley Private Equity Asia Iii, Inc.	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	1585 BROADWAY NEW YORK NY 10036
Mspea Modified Plastics Holding Ltd	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	C/O WALKERS CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED WALKER HOUSE, 87 MARY STREET GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KYI-9005