What is Audeo Oncology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Audeo Oncology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Audeo Oncology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Audeo Oncology (Audeo Oncology) Business Description
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Audeo Oncology, Inc was incorporated in Delaware in June 2012. It is a late stage biopharmaceutical company utilizing its Hyaluronic Acid Chemotransport Technology, or HyACT, to target cancer drugs preferentially to tumor cells to enhance drug activity. HyACT is a flexible platform technology designed to increase the effectiveness of anti-cancer agents without increasing treatment toxicity. It seeks to reduce the risks related to drug development by using known anti-cancer drugs, and aim to enhance their commercial value by improving their effectiveness. The Company's lead HyACT product candidate, HA-Irinotecan, is currently in a pivotal Phase III clinical trial for metastatic colorectal cancer, or mCRC. HA-Irinotecan is also in an investigator-sponsored Phase II clinical trial for small cell lung cancer, or SCLC. It also has two other HyACT product candidates that have successfully completed Phase I clinical trials. In addition to its current clinical-stage product candidates, it aims to develop a pipeline of product candidates by exploiting its significant know-how in cancer stem cell biology and cancer metabolism combined with the Versatile Assembly on Stable Templates, or VAST, molecule drug discovery technology that it will in-license. The Company's lead product candidate is HyACT-targeted irinotecan, or HA-Irinotecan, for the treatment of mCRC. Irinotecan, which is marketed in major markets by Pfizer as Camptosar, is an off-patent chemotherapy drug widely used in the treatment of mCRC. Government authorities in the United States (including federal, state and local authorities) and in other countries extensively regulate the manufacture, research, clinical development, labeling, packaging, distribution, post-approval monitoring and reporting, advertising, promotion, export and import of pharmaceutical products, such as those it is developing.
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