Foghorn Therapeutics (Foghorn Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.28% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Foghorn Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.28%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Foghorn Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Foghorn Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-5.88

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.28%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Foghorn Therapeutics (NAS:FHTX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Foghorn Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Foghorn Therapeutics (Foghorn Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Foghorn Therapeutics Inc (NAS:FHTX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

500 Technology Square, Suite 700, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02139

Website

https://www.foghorntx.com

Foghorn Therapeutics Inc is engaged in the discovery and development of a new class of medicines targeting genetically determined dependencies within the chromatin regulatory system. Its proprietary Gene Traffic Control platform gives an integrated, mechanistic understanding of how the various components of the chromatin regulatory system interact, allowing it to identify, validate and potentially drug targets within the system. The company is developing FHD-286, a selective, allosteric ATPase inhibitor, and FHD-609, a protein degrader, to treat hematologic cancers and solid tumors.

Executives

Alfonso Quintas Cardama	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O TCR2 THERAPEUTICS INC., 100 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Samuel Agresta	officer: Chief Medical Officer	784 MEMORIAL DR., CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Lynch Thomas J. Jr.	director	800 HOWARD AVENUE, YALE PHYSICIANS BUILDING, 2ND FLOOR, NEW HAVEN CT 06519
B Lynne Parshall	director	2855 GAZELLE COURT, CARLSBAD CA 92010
Carlos Costa	officer: Chief People Officer	C/O FOGHORN THERAPEUTICS INC., 500 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, SUITE 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Fanny Cavalie	officer: Chief Strategy/Bus Ops Officer	C/O FOGHORN THERAPEUTICS INC., 500 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, SUITE 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Ian F Smith	director	C/O ACORDA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 420 SAW MILL RIVER ROAD, ARDSLEY NY 10502
Michael Lacascia	officer: Chief Legal Officer	500 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, SUITE 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Carl Decicco	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	100 BINNEY STREET, SUITE 610, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Flagship Ventures Opportunities Fund I General Partner Llc	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 800E, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Abu Dhabi Investment Authority	10 percent owner	211 CORNICHE STREET, PO BOX 3600, ABU DHABI C0 0000
Michael Mendelsohn	director	C/O CYCLERION THERAPEUTICS, INC., 301 BINNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Adam Koppel	director	C/O BROOKSIDE CAPITAL, LLC, JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON ST, BOSTON MA 02116
Steven F. Bellon	officer: See Remarks	500 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, SUITE 700, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jose Baselga	director	780 MEMORIAL DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139