What is Heartware International, Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Medical Devices subindustry, Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry
For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Heartware International,'s Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Heartware International, Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 50.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Heartware International, (FRA:HIY1) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Heartware International Inc was incorporated in Delaware on July 29, 2008 and became the successor issuer to HeartWare Limited, an Australian corporation, on November 13, 2008, as a result of the Australian Court approved redomiciliation of HeartWare Limited from Australia to Delaware. HeartWare is a medical device company engaged in developing implantable blood pumps for the treatment of advanced heart failure. The Company operates one reportable segment which includes the design, manufacture and marketing of medical devices for the treatment of advanced heart failure. The HeartWare Ventricular Assist System, which includes a left ventricular assist device, or blood pump, patient accessories and surgical tools, is designed to provide circulatory support for patients with advanced heart failure. Beyond the HeartWare System, the company is also evaluating its next device, the Miniaturized Ventricular Assist Device. The MVAD is based on the same technology platform as the HeartWare System but adopts an axial flow, rather than a centrifugal flow, configuration and is being developed in multiple configurations. The MVAD designs are currently at the preclinical stage and undergoing animal studies focused on minimally invasive implantation techniques and are each approximately one-third the size of the HVAD Pump. The Company's competitors in the implantable cardiac assist space include Thoratec Corporation, Jarvik Heart, Inc., MicroMed Cardiovascular, Berlin Heart GmbH, and Sunshine Heart, Inc. HEARTWARE, HVAD, MVAD, PAL, CIRCULITE, SYNERGY and various company logos are the trademarks of the Company, in the United States, Europe, Australia and other countries.
Heartware International, (FRA:HIY1) Headlines
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