GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Diversified Financial Services » Fortress Value Acquisition Corp IV (NYSE:FVIV) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Fortress Value Acquisition IV (Fortress Value Acquisition IV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Fortress Value Acquisition IV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fortress Value Acquisition IV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fortress Value Acquisition IV  (NYSE:FVIV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fortress Value Acquisition IV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fortress Value Acquisition IV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fortress Value Acquisition IV (Fortress Value Acquisition IV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1345 Avenue of the Americas, 46th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10105
Fortress Value Acquisition Corp IV is a blank check company.
Executives
Teddy B Bartley director C/O FORTRESS VALUE ACQUISITION CORP. IV, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Leilani Verge director C/O FORTRESS VALUE ACQUISITION CORP. IV, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
David Weinreb director 13355 NOEL ROAD, SUITE 950, DALLAS TX 75240
Andrew A. Mcknight director ONE MARKET PLAZA, SPEAR TOWER 42ND FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94123
Joshua A Pack director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FIG LLC, 10250 CONSTELLATION BLVD., SUITE 1600, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Daniel Bass officer: Chief Financial Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Micah B Kaplan officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP, LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Alexander P Gillette officer: General Counsel and Secretary C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Marc Furstein director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Leslee Cowen director C/O FORTRESS INVESTMENT GROUP LLC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Fortress Value Acquisition Sponsor Iv Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Claudio Reyna director C/O FORTRESS VALUE ACQUISITION CORP. IV, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105

Fortress Value Acquisition IV (Fortress Value Acquisition IV) Headlines