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HomeFed (HomeFed) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is HomeFed Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HomeFed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


HomeFed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For insurance companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Short-term investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

HomeFed  (OTCPK:HOFD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

HomeFed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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HomeFed (HomeFed) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » HomeFed Corp (OTCPK:HOFD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
TSE:8871 HKSE:00230 SHSE:600052 BKK:GOLD XTAE:ISCN XTAE:AZRM TPE:2511 HKSE:00028 LSE:HWG BSP:DIRR3 SZSE:000056 SHSE:600638 BOM:532832 SHSE:600890 SGX:40S LSE:ETLN BKK:AMATA SHSE:600215 SZSE:000558 BKK:GLAND
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1903 Wright Place, Suite 220, Carlsbad, CA, USA, 92008
Website
http://www.homefedcorporation.com
HomeFed Corp is a real estate development company. The company segmented its operating activities into three reportable segments, Real Estate, Farming, and Corporate. The Real Estate operations consist of a variety of residential and commercial land development projects and other unimproved lands, and retail and office operating properties. Real Estate also includes equity method investments in BRP Holding and BRP Hotel. Farming operations consist of the Rampage property, a project with which it is conducting farming activities during the lengthy entitlement and development process. Corporate primarily consists of interest income and overhead expenses. Its property portfolio consists of master planned communities, income properties, and land holdings.
Executives
Brian P Friedman director
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. 10 percent owner 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Joseph S Steinberg director C/O LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP, 315 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10010
Patrick D Bienvenue director 1903 WRIGHT PLACE STE 220, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Ian M. Cumming director PO BOX 4902, JACKSON WY 83001