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Insmed (Insmed) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 2.38% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Insmed Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 2.38%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Insmed's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Insmed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=2.38%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Insmed  (NAS:INSM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Insmed Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Insmed (Insmed) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Insmed Inc (NAS:INSM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 US Highway 202/206, Bridgewater, NJ, USA, 08807
Insmed Inc is a global biopharmaceutical company transforming the lives of patients with serious and rare diseases. The company's first commercial product is ARIKAYCE (amikacin liposome inhalation suspension), approved in the US for the treatment of Mycobacterium Avium Complex (MAC) lung disease as part of a combination antibacterial drug regimen for adult patients with limited or no alternative treatment options. The company's earlier-stage clinical pipeline includes Brensocatib, a novel oral reversible inhibitor of dipeptidyl peptidase 1 with therapeutic potential in non-cystic fibrosis bronchiectasis and other inflammatory diseases; and INS1009, an inhaled formulation of a treprostinil prodrug that may offer a differentiated product profile for pulmonary arterial hypertension.
Executives
Flammer Martina M.d. officer: Chief Medical Officer 700 US HIGHWAY 202/206, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Roger Adsett officer: Chief Commercial Officer 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
John Drayton Wise officer: Chief Commercial Officer 700 US HIGHWAY 202/206, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Michael Alexander Smith officer: General Counsel, Senior VP 700 US HIGHWAY 202/206, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
William Lewis officer: President & CEO 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Schaeffer Orlov S Nicole officer: Chief People Strategy Officer INSMED INCORPORATED, 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Sara Bonstein officer: Chief Financial Officer 305 COLLEGE ROAD EAST, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Melvin Md Sharoky director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Leo Lee director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
David R Brennan director C/O INSMED INCORPORATED, 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Steinar J Engelsen director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
John Soriano officer: Chief Compliance Officer 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Christine A Pellizzari officer: General Counsel & Secretary 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Alfred Altomari director C/O AGILE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 101 POOR FARM ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Elizabeth M Anderson director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807