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Innoviva (Innoviva) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Innoviva Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Innoviva's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Innoviva Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.12

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Innoviva  (NAS:INVA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Innoviva Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Innoviva (Innoviva) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Innoviva Inc (NAS:INVA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1350 Old Bayshore Highway, Suite 400, Burlingame, CA, USA, 94010
Innoviva Inc develops biopharmaceutical drugs in the antibiotic, respiratory, and digestive realms. Theravance's respiratory compounds are in late-stage trials for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Its product offering includes Relvar/Breo/Ellipta, Anoro, Ellipta, Trelegy, Ellipta and others. The firm collaborates with and receives funding from GlaxoSmithKline.
Executives
Marianne Zhen officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O INNOVIVA, INC., 2000 SIERRA POINT PARKWAY, SUITE 500, BRISBANE CA 94005
Stephen Basso officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O INOZYME PHARMA, INC., 321 SUMMER STREET, SUITE 400, BOSTON MA 02210
Margaret Koziel officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O AXCELLA HEALTH INC., 840 MEMORIAL DRIVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Alexander J Denner 10 percent owner C/O SARISSA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Deborah Birx director 3300 LOWELL STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20008
Sarissa Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Pavel Raifeld officer: Chief Executive Officer 1350 OLD BAYSHORE HIGHWAY, SUITE 400, BURLINGAME CA 94010
Sapna Srivastava director C/O MYOS CORPORATION, 45 HORSEHILL ROAD, SUITE 106, CEDAR KNOLLS NJ 07927
Larry G. Edwards officer: CEO of La Jolla Pharmaceutical C/O TETRAPHASE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 480 ARSENAL STREET, SUITE 110, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Plc Glaxosmithkline 10 percent owner 980 GREAT WEST ROAD, BRENTFORD MIDDLESEX X0 TW8 9GS
Mark Dipaolo director 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Kostas D Odysseas director 660 STEAMBOAT ROAD, 3RD FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sarah J. Schlesinger director C/O ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS, 26 LANDSDOWNE STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jules Haimovitz director 601 108TH AVENUE NE, SUITE 1200, BELLEVUE WA 98004
George Bickerstaff director C/O VION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 4 SCIENCE PARK, NEW HAVEN CT 06511