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Kairos Acquisition (Kairos Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 08, 2024)


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What is Kairos Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kairos Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kairos Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kairos Acquisition  (NAS:KAIR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kairos Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kairos Acquisition (Kairos Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
c/o Ellenoff Grossman & Schole LLP, 1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10105
Kairos Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Thomas F Motamed director 15 MOUNTAIN VIEW ROAD, WARREN NJ 07059
Susan J Sutherland director MONTPELIER HOUSE, 94 PITTS BAY ROAD, HAMILTON D0 HM 08
Robert Glanville director C/O PINE BROOK ROAD PARTNERS LLC, 42ND STREET, 50TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10165
Michael J Stone director C/O RLI CORP, 9025 N. LINDBERGH DR., PEORIA IL 61615
John M Lummis director C/O RENAISSANCERE HOLDINGS LTD.,, RENAISSANCE HOUSE, 8-12 EAST BROADWAY, HAMILTON, BERMUDA D0 HM 19
Vikas Singhal director, 10 percent owner 2187 ATLANTIC STREET, FOURTH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06902
St Paer Jerry De officer: Chief Financial Officer
Peter Bang director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 50 WASHINGTON STREET SUITE 921, NORWALK CT 06844
Garrett Koehn director 50 WASHINGTON STREET SUITE 921, NORWALK CT 06844
Hs Chronos Llc 10 percent owner 2187 ATLANTIC STREET, FOURTH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06902
Michael Millette 10 percent owner, other: Board Observer 2187 ATLANTIC STREET, FOURTH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06902
Kairos Alpha Acquisition Llc 10 percent owner 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 11TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105