GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » LXP Industrial Trust (NYSE:LXP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

LXP Industrial Trust (LXP Industrial Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is LXP Industrial Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



LXP Industrial Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


LXP Industrial Trust  (NYSE:LXP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


LXP Industrial Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LXP Industrial Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LXP Industrial Trust (LXP Industrial Trust) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » LXP Industrial Trust (NYSE:LXP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Penn Plaza, Suite 4015, New York, NY, USA, 10119-4015
LXP Industrial Trust is a real estate investment trust principally involved in the ownership of equity and debt investments in single-tenant properties and land throughout the United States. Majority of the revenue is earned through rental revenue.
Executives
Derrick L Johnson director C/O LXP INDUSTRIAL TRUST, ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119-4015
Nancy Elizabeth Noe director ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119
Arun Gupta director C/O COLUMBIA CAPITAL, 201 NORTH UNION STREET, SUITE 300, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Nabil Andrawis officer: EVP, Director of Taxation C/O LXP INDUSTRIAL TRUST, ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119-4015
Richard Frary director C/O TALLWOOD ASSOCIATES INC., 14 EAST 60TH STREET, SUITE 1003, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jamie Handwerker director 9 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 4920, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lara Sweeney Johnson officer: EVP C/O WINTHROP FINANCIAL ASSOCIATES, TWO JERICHO QUADRANGLE WING A SUITE 111, JERICHO NY 11753
Joseph Bonventre officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Secretary ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119-4015
Mark Cherone officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O LEXINGTON REALTY TRUST, ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 11743
James Dudley officer: EVP & Director of Asset Mgmt. C/O LEXINGTON REALTY TRUST, ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119-4015
Brendan P Mullinix officer: EVP LEXINGTON CORPORATE PROPERTIES TRUST, ONE PENN PLAZA, SUITE 4015, NEW YORK NY 10119-4015
Howard Stewart Roth director 19 DEEPDALE DRIVE, GREAT NECK NY 11021
T Wilson Eglin director, officer: CEO, President and COO
E Robert Roskind director, officer: Chairman of the Board
Richard J Rouse director, officer: Co-Vice Chairman & CIO