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Mid-America Apartment Communities (Mid-America Apartment Communities) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Mid-America Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mid-America Apartment Communities's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mid-America Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mid-America Apartment Communities  (NYSE:MAA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mid-America Apartment Communities Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mid-America Apartment Communities (Mid-America Apartment Communities) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6815 Poplar Avenue, Suite 500, Germantown, TN, USA, 38138
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc, or MAA, is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquisition, operation, and development of multifamily apartment communities located in southeastern and southwestern United States. Company operates two reportable segments; Same Store includes communities that the Company has owned and have been stabilized for at least a full 12 months as of the first day of the calendar year and Non-Same Store and Other includes recently acquired communities, communities being developed or in lease-up, communities that have been disposed of or identified for disposition, communities that have experienced a significant casualty loss and stabilized communities that do not meet the requirements to be Same Store communities. Key revenue comes from the Same Store.
Executives
Bolton H Eric Jr director, officer: President and Chief Executive
Timothy Argo officer: EVP, Chief Strategy & Analysis 6815 POPLAR AVE, SUITE 500, GERMANTOWN TN 38138
Melanie Carpenter officer: EVP & CHRO 6815 POPLAR AVE, SUITE 500, GERMANTOWN TN 38138
Robert J. Delpriore officer: EVP, General Counsel 6584 POPLAR AVENUE, MEMPHIS TN 38138
William Reid Sanders director C/O TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Tamara D Fischer director 5200 DTC PARKWAY, SUITE 200, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
John Case director 600 LA TERRAZA BOULEVARD, ESCONDIDO CA 92025
Deborah H Caplan director 700 UNIVERSE BLVD, JUNO BEACH FL 33408
Adrian Hill officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer 6815 POPLAR AVE, SUITE 500, GERMANTOWN TN 38138
Campbell Albert M Iii officer: EVP-Director of Finance 6584 POPLAR AVE., STE. 300, MEMPHIS TN 38138
Monica Houle Mcgurk director C/O BUNGE LIMITED, 1391 TIMBERLAKE MANOR PARKWAY, CHESTERFIELD MO 63017
Grimes Thomas L Jr officer: EVP-Director of Property Mgm 6584 POPLAR AVE., STE. 300, MEMPHIS TN 38138
David P Stockert director 4401 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY, SUITE 800, ATLANTA GA 30327-3057
Green Edith Kelly director 3131 DEMOCRAT ROAD BLDG B206, MEMPHIS TN 38118
Russell R French director 9 NORTH PARKWAY SQUARE, 4200 NORTHSIDE PARKWAY, ATLANTA GA 30327