GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Remark Holdings Inc (OTCPK:MARK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Remark Holdings (Remark Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 99.87% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2007. Start your Free Trial

What is Remark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.87%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Remark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=6.62

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=99.87%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Remark Holdings  (OTCPK:MARK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Remark Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Remark Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Remark Holdings (Remark Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Remark Holdings Inc (OTCPK:MARK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 S Commerce Street, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89106
Remark Holdings Inc delivers an integrated suite of AI solutions that enable businesses and organizations to solve problems, reduce risk and deliver positive outcomes. The company's easy-to-install AI products are being rolled out in a range of applications within the retail, financial, public safety, and workplace arenas. The company also owns and operates digital media properties that deliver relevant content and e-commerce solutions.
Executives
Theodore P Botts director C/O HSW INTERNATIONAL, INC., 3350 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30326
Ling Elizabeth Xu director 3960 HOWARD HUGHES PKWY, SUITE 900, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Ernest T. Lee 10 percent owner 3271 SOUTH HIGHLAND DRIVE, #704, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Alison Davidson officer: Interim CFO C/O REMARK HOLDINGS, INC., 3960 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 900, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Douglas Osrow officer: Chief Financial Officer FIVE CONCOURSE PKWY, SUITE 2400, ATLANTA GA 30328
Brett Ratner director C/O REMARK MEDIA, INC., 3960 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 900, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Daniel J. Stein director C/O REMARK MEDIA, INC., 3960 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Jason E. Strauss director C/O REMARK MEDIA, INC., 3930 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 400, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
William Warwick Grounds director 3600 LAS VEGAS BLVD., S., LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Robert G Goldstein director 3355 LAS VEGAS BOULEVARD SOUTH, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Kai-shing Tao director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O HSW INTERNATIONAL, INC., 3350 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1600, ATLANTA GA 30326
Howstuffworks, Llc 10 percent owner ONE CAPITAL CITY PLAZA, 3350 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1500, ATLANTA GA 30326
Digipac, Llc 10 percent owner ONE HUGHES CENTER DRIVE, UNIT 1601, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Bradley T. Zimmer officer: Chief Operating Officer and Ge SIX CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 1500, ATLANTA GA 30328
Carrie Ferman officer: Chief Executive Officer SIX CONCOURSE PARKWAY, SUITE 1500, ATLANTA GA 30328

Remark Holdings (Remark Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus