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Milestone Pharmaceuticals (Milestone Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.84% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Milestone Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.84%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Milestone Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Milestone Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.78

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.84%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Milestone Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:MIST) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Milestone Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Milestone Pharmaceuticals (Milestone Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1111 Dr. Frederik-Philips Boulevard, Suite 420, Montreal, QC, CAN, H4M 2X6
Milestone Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing and commercializing etripamil for the treatment of cardiovascular indications. Etripamil is a calcium channel blocker developed as a rapid-onset nasal spray to be administered by the patient to terminate episodes of paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia, or PSVT.
Executives
Fischer Seth H.z. director C/O TRIUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 101, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
David Bharucha officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD., STE 420, MONTREAL A8 H4M 2X6
Debra K. Liebert director C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD, STE 420, MONTR?AL A8 H4M 2X6
Richard C Pasternak director C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD, STE 420, MONTREAL A8 H4M2X6
Michael John Tomsicek director 28 OVERLOOK DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Robert James Wills director 175 TOYOTA PLAZA, 7TH FLOOR, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Roderick Wong 10 percent owner C/O RTW INVESTMENTS, LP, 40 10TH AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Rtw Investments, Lp 10 percent owner 40 10TH AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Jeffrey Edward Nelson officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD., STE 420, MONTREAL A8 H4M 2X6
Paul F Truex director PENINSULA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1751 HARBOR BAY PARKWAY, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Lisa M. Giles director DURATA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 200 SOUTH WACKER DRIVE SUITE 2550, CHICAGO IL 60606
Fonds De Solidarite Des Travailleurs Du Quebec 10 percent owner 545 CREMAZIE BLVD. EAST, SUITE 200, MONTREAL A8 H2M 2W4
Novo Holdings A/s 10 percent owner, other: SEE REMARKS TUBORG HAVNEVEJ 19, HELLERUP G7 2900
Amit Hasija officer: CFO & EVP of Corp. Development C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD, STE 420, MONTREAL A8 H4M 2X6
Lorenz Muller officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O MILESTONE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 1111 DR. FREDERIK-PHILIPS BLVD., STE 420, MONTREAL A8 H4M 2X6

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