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LivePerson (LivePerson) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 8.24% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is LivePerson Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 8.24%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LivePerson's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



LivePerson Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-2.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=8.24%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


LivePerson  (NAS:LPSN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


LivePerson Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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LivePerson (LivePerson) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » LivePerson Inc (NAS:LPSN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
530 7th Avenue, Floor M1, New York, NY, USA, 10018
LivePerson Inc offers cloud-based platform solutions. It enables businesses and consumers to connect through conversational interfaces, such as in-app and mobile messaging, while leveraging bots and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to increase efficiency. The company has two reportable segments namely Business and Consumer. It generates maximum revenue from the Business segment. The Business segment enables brands to leverage the Conversational Cloud's sophisticated intelligence engine to connect with consumers through an integrated suite of mobile and online business messaging technologies. The company has a presence in the United Kingdom, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Europe.
Executives
John Deneen Collins officer: Chief Financial Officer LIVEPERSON, INC., 475 TENTH AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Jeffrey Ford officer: Chief Accounting Officer 530 7TH AVE., FLOOR M1, NEW YORK NY 10018
Alex Kroman officer: EVP, Product and Technology 530 7TH AVE., FLOOR M1, NEW YORK NY 10018
Norman M. Osumi officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O LIVEPERSON, INC., 475 TENTH AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Monica L. Greenberg officer: EVP, General Counsel LIVEPERSON, INC., 462 SEVENTH AVENUE 3RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Robert P Locascio director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O LIVEPERSON INC, 462 SEVENTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10018
William Wesemann director 130 MONTALVO ROAD, REDWOOD CITY CA 94062
James R. Miller director 4050 EAST COTTON CENTER BLVD. 6-68, PHOENIX AZ 85040
Bruce Edward Hansen director 17732 VINEYARD LANE, POWAY CA 92064
Vanessa Pegueros director C/O CARBON BLACK, INC., 1100 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Yael Zheng director 345 ENCINAL STREET, SANTA CRUZ CA 95060
Alexander Spinelli officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer LIVEPERSON, INC., 475 TENTH AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Kevin Lavan director 44 HILLCREST ROAD, MARTINSVILLE NJ 08836
Ernest T. Cu director LIVEPERSON, INC., 475 TENTH AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Daryl Carlough officer: SVP, Global & Corp Controller BEDMINSTER ONE, 135 US HIGHWAY 202/206, SUITE 11, BEDMINSTER NJ 07921

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