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Magnite (Magnite) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.12% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Magnite Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.12%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Magnite's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Magnite Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.12%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Magnite  (NAS:MGNI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Magnite Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Magnite (Magnite) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1250 Broadway, 15th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Magnite is one of the largest supply-side platform providers, or SSP, in online advertising. The firm was previously named The Rubicon Project (an online ad exchange) and became Magnite after merging with Telaria (an SSP focused mainly on streaming video providers) in 2020. The firm also purchased another of the leading SSPs within the CTV market, SpotX, in 2021 for $1.2 billion, cementing its long-term focus on grabbing market share in this area. The firm generates nearly 45% of its revenue from the programmatic sale of CTV ad inventory, 35% from mobile online sites and apps, and the remaining from websites accessed via computer.
Executives
Michael G. Barrett director, officer: CEO C/O THE RUBICON PROJECT, INC., 12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, PLAYA VISTA CA 90094
David Buonasera officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O MAGNITE, INC., 1250 BROADWAY, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Robert F Spillane director 12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90094
Sean Patrick Buckley officer: Chief Revenue Officer, CTV C/O MAGNITE, INC., 6080 CENTER DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90045
Aaron Saltz officer: General Counsel & Secy C/O TELARIA INC., 222 BROADWAY, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10038
Adam Lee Soroca officer: Head of Global Buyer Team C/O THE RUBICON PROJECT, INC., 12181 BLUFF CREEK DR., 4TH FLOOR, PLAYA VISTA CA 90094
Katie Seitz Evans officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O TREMOR VIDEO, INC., 1501 BROADWAY, SUITE 801, NEW YORK NY 10036
David Day officer: Chief Accounting Officer 21700 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 1600, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Brian Gephart officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1655 26TH STREET, SANTA MONICA CA 90404
Lisa L Troe director 12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90094
Rachel Lam director C/O TREMOR VIDEO, INC., 53 WEST 23RD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10010
David T. Pearson director C/O VONAGE HOLDINGS CORP, 23 MAIN STREET, HOLMDEL NJ 07733
Diane Yu director C/O MAGNITE, INC., 1250 BROADWAY, 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10001
Joseph R Prusz officer: Global Chief Revenue Officer C/O THE RUBICON PROJECT, INC., 12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, PLAYA VISTA CA 90094
Paul Caine director C/O TREMOR VIDEO, INC., 53 WEST 23RD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10010