GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » RealNetworks Inc (NAS:RNWK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

RealNetworks (RealNetworks) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1997. Start your Free Trial

What is RealNetworks Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



RealNetworks Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


RealNetworks  (NAS:RNWK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


RealNetworks Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of RealNetworks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


RealNetworks (RealNetworks) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » RealNetworks Inc (NAS:RNWK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1501 First Avenue South, Suite 600, Seattle, WA, USA, 98134
RealNetworks Inc creates a new generation of products that employ artificial intelligence and machine learning to enhance and secure daily lives. Real's portfolio includes SAFR, the computer vision platform for live video; KONTXT, an NLP (Natural Language Processing) platform for text and multi-media analysis; and leveraging its digital media expertise, a mobile games business focused on the large free-to-play segment.
Executives
Brian Mccain officer: CFO 1501 1ST AVENUE S, STE 600, SEATTLE WA 98134
Caldwell Mill Opportunity Fund, Llc 10 percent owner 2609 CALDWELL MILL LANE, BIRMINGHAM AL 35243
Satterfield Thomas A Jr 10 percent owner 2609 CALDWELL MILL LN, BIRMINGHAM AL 35243
A. G. Family L.p. 10 percent owner 571 MCDONALD ROAD, ROCKWALL TX 75032
Tomsat Investment & Trading Co., Inc. 10 percent owner 15 COLLEY COVE DRIVE, GULF BREEZE FL 32561
Rebecca S Satterfield 10 percent owner 15 COLLEY COVE DRIVE, GULF BREEZE FL 32561
Michael A Cooley officer: President, Messaging 1501 1ST AVENUE S, STE. 600, SEATTLE WA 98134
Christine Chambers officer: CFO 1501 1ST AVENUE SOUTH, STE. 600, SEATTLE WA 98134
Judd Lee officer: Chief Financial Officer 1501 1ST AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98134
Michael Ensing officer: Interim CFO 1501 1ST AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98134
Erik Prusch director C/O CLEARWIRE CORPORATION, 4400 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Michael Parham officer: SVP General Counsel 2601 ELLIOTT AVE, SEATTLE WA 98121
Massimiliano Pellegrini officer: Pres, Mobile Entertainment C/O REALNETWORKS, INC., 2601 ELLIOTT AVE., SEATTLE WA 98121
Robert Glaser director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 1111 THIRD AVENUE, SUITE 2900, SEATLE WA 98101
Cary Baker officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer 1501 FIRST AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 600, SEATTLE WA 98134