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Neurobiological Technologies (Neurobiological Technologies) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Neurobiological Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Neurobiological Technologies's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Neurobiological Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Neurobiological Technologies  (OTCPK:NTII) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Neurobiological Technologies Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Neurobiological Technologies (Neurobiological Technologies) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2010 Crow Canyon Place, Suite 100, San Ramon, CA, USA, 94583
Neurobiological Technologies Inc is a biopharmaceutical company historically focused on developing investigational drugs for central nervous system conditions.
Executives
Ariel Warszawski 10 percent owner C/O FIREFLY VALUE PARTNERS, LP, 551 FIFTH AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10176
Ryan Heslop 10 percent owner C/O FIREFLY VALUE PARTNERS, LP, 551 FIFTH AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10176
Firefly Management Co Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O FIREFLY VALUE PARTNERS, LP, 551 FIFTH AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10176
Fvp Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O FIREFLY VALUE PARTNERS, LP, 551 FIFTH AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10176
Firefly Value Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 426 PINEVILLE ROAD, UNIT 1, NEWTOWN PA 18940
Fvp Master Fund Lp 10 percent owner FVP GP LLC, 551 FIFTH AVENUE, 36TH FLOOR, New York NY 10176
John B Stuppin director
Abraham E Cohen director 500 SEVENTH AVE 10TH FL, C/O AXONYX INC, NEW YORK NY 10018
Abraham D Sofaer director HOOVER INSTITUTION, STANFORD UNIVERSITY, STANFORD CA 94305-6010
Biotechnology Value Fund L P other: Direct Beneficial Owner 44 MONTGOMERY STREET, 40TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Bvf Partners L P/il 10 percent owner 44 MONTGOMERY ST., 40TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Bvf Inc/il 10 percent owner 44 MONTGOMERY STREET, 40TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Biotechnology Value Fund Ii Lp other: Direct Beneficial Owner 44 MONTGOMERY STREET, 40TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Bvf Investments Llc other: Direct Beneficial Owner 1 SANSOME ST, 30TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Mark N Lampert 10 percent owner 1 SANSOME ST, 30TH FL, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104

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