What is Rautaruukki Oyj Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Steel subindustry, Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Steel Industry
For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Rautaruukki Oyj's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Rautaruukki Oyj Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Rautaruukki Oyj (OHEL:RTRKS) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Rautaruukki Oyj supplies metal-based components, systems and integrated systems to construction and the engineering industry. The company's operations are structured into three divisions: construction, engineering, and steel business. Its construction division supplies steel construction solutions for commercial and industrial construction, as well as for infrastructure foundation and transport infrastructure projects. The divisions' product portfolio includes building frames, wall and roofing products, integrated systems for single and multi-story construction, bridges, traffic noise barriers and highway guard rails, piles, retaining wall structures and foundations for harbor construction. Its customers include developers, designs and builders of commercial, industrial and office premises, logistics and sports complexes and infrastructure services as well as roofing suppliers. Its engineering division supplies systems and components to the engineering industry, such as cabins, booms, masts and frames for goods and container handling, the construction industry and mining and forestry, telescopic booms, frames and parts; windmill components and oil sumps. Main markets serve international European companies, specifically the lifting, handling, and transportation equipment industry, the energy industry, the marine and offshore industry and the paper and wood industry. The Metals division supplies steel products associated with prefabrication, logistics and storage services. The division's product portfolio consists of hot and cold-rolled steels, metal and color-coated steels, tubes and profiles and stainless steel and aluminum sold as trading products. Its customers include the transportation equipment, construction, engineering and electronics industries in Europe and Russia.
Rautaruukki Oyj (OHEL:RTRKS) Headlines
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
OHEL:RTRKS has been successfully added to your