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PAMT (PAMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is PAMT Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PAMT's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



PAMT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


PAMT  (NAS:PAMT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PAMT Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PAMT Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » PAMT Corp (NAS:PAMT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Lance K. Stewart, P.O. BOX 188, Tontitown, AR, USA, 72770
PAMT Corp is a holding company that is engaged in providing truckload dry van carriers transporting general commodities throughout the continental United States, as well as the Canadian provinces of Ontario and Quebec.
Executives
Matthew T Moroun director, 10 percent owner 12225 STEPHENS ROAD, WARREN MI 48089
Edwin J. Lukas director 12225 STEPHENS ROAD, WARREN MI 48089
W Scott Davis director 7 SUNSET DRIVE, LITTLE ROCK AR 72207
Joseph A. Vitiritto director, officer: President and CEO P.O. BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Matthew J. Moroun director 12225 STEPHENS ROAD, WARREN MI 48089
Michael D. Bishop director P.O. BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Humberto Pete Montano director P.O. BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Allen West officer: VP Finance, CFO, Secy, Treas POST OFFICE BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Matt Herndon officer: Chief Operating Officer 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Franklin Mclarty director 297 WEST HENRI DE TONTI, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Daniel H Cushman director, officer: President PO BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770
Norman E Harned director 12225 STEPHENS ROAD, WARREN MI 48089
Frederick P Calderone director C/O CENTRAL TRANSPORT INTL, 12225 STEPHENS RD, WARREN MI 48089
Larry J Goddard officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT PAM TRANSPORTATION SVC INC, 297 W HENRI DETONTI BLVD, TONTITOWN AR 72712
Lance Stewart officer: VP Fin, CFO, Sec. and Treas. POST OFFICE BOX 188, TONTITOWN AR 72770