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Q2 Holdings (Q2 Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Q2 Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Q2 Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Q2 Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.26

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Q2 Holdings  (NYSE:QTWO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Q2 Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Q2 Holdings (Q2 Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Q2 Holdings Inc (NYSE:QTWO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10355 Pecan Park Boulevard, Austin, TX, USA, 78729
Q2 Holdings Inc. is a provider of cloud-based virtual banking solutions for regional financial institutions to deliver mobile banking services to retail and commercial end-users who wish to bank anywhere and anytime. Its solutions operate on an integrated tablet-first platform which provides financial institutions a comprehensive view of account holder activity and meets the regulatory and security requirements applicable to the industry. The firm generates revenue from subscription-based arrangements for software offerings, typically for five years. A large majority of the firm's revenue is generated in the United States.
Executives
John E Breeden officer: EVP, Operations 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Kirk L Coleman officer: Chief Banking Officer 10355 PECAN PARK BLVD, AUSITN TX 78729
Kim Rutledge officer: SVP, Human Resources 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
James Offerdahl director 11501 DOMAIN DRIVE, SUITE 200, AUSTIN TX 78758
Michael A. Volanoski officer: Chief Revenue Officer 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
David J Mehok officer: Chief Financial Officer 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
R. H. Seale director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Michael S Kerr officer: SVP, General Counsel 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Jonathan Price officer: SVP, Corp and Business Dev 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Matthew P Flake director, officer: President and CEO 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD CONTACT STREE, AUSTIN TX 78729
Barry G Benton officer: SVP, General Counsel 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Lynn Antipas Tyson director 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Rebecca Lynn Atchison director 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Adam D Anderson officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer 13785 RESEARCH BLVD., SUITE 150, AUSTIN TX 78750
Bharath Oruganti officer: SVP, Service Delivery C/O SHORETEL, INC., 960 STEWART DRIVE, SUNNYVALE CA 94085