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Ring Energy (Ring Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Ring Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ring Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Ring Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Ring Energy  (AMEX:REI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Ring Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Ring Energy (Ring Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Ring Energy Inc (AMEX:REI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1725 Hughes Landing Boulevard, Suite 900, The Woodlands, TX, USA, 77380
Ring Energy Inc is an independent exploration and production company based in The Woodlands, Texas and is engaged in oil and natural gas development, production, acquisition, and exploration activities currently focused in the Permian Basin of Texas. The drilling operations of the company target the oil and liquids rich producing formations in the Northwest Shelf, the Central Basin Platform, and the Delaware Basin all of which are part of the Permian Basin in Texas.
Executives
John A Crum director 5400 WESTHEIMER COURT, HOUSTON TX 77056
Paul D. Mckinney director, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board 1177 WEST LOOP SOUTH, SUITE 1825, HOUSTON TX 77027
Anthony Benedict Petrelli director 6250 RAIN DANCE TRAIL, LITTLETON CO 80125
Stronghold Energy Ii Operating, Llc 10 percent owner 508 W. WALL STREET, SUITE %%), MIDLAND TX 79701
Warburg Pincus & Co Us, Llc 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus (e&p) Xii Llc 10 percent owner 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Richard E Harris director 2000 CHARWOOD DR, APT 2502, COLUMBUS IN 47201
William T Kruse 10 percent owner 1340 S MAIN ST., STE 300, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
David Habachy director C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus (e&p) Xii, L.p. 10 percent owner 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus Private Equity (e&p) Xii-d (a), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON, NEW YORK NY 10017
Wp Xii (e&p) Partners (a), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus Xii (e&p) Partners-2, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus Xii (e&p) Partners-1, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON, NEW YORK NY 10017
Warburg Pincus Private Equity (e&p) Xii-e (a), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON, NEW YORK NY 10017

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