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Sonida Senior Living (Sonida Senior Living) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Sonida Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonida Senior Living's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sonida Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sonida Senior Living  (NYSE:SNDA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sonida Senior Living Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sonida Senior Living (Sonida Senior Living) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16301 Quorum Drive, Suite 160A, Addison, TX, USA, 75001
Sonida Senior Living Inc is an owner-operator of senior housing communities in the United States in terms of resident capacity. The company provides senior living services to the elderly, including independent living, assisted living, Respite Care and Temporary Care Programs, Home Care Services, and memory care services. Its objective is to provide value to residents by providing quality senior housing services at reasonable prices. The basic service of the company is comprised of meals, housekeeping, laundry, 24-hour staffing, transportation, social and recreational activities, and healthcare monitoring.
Executives
Ortelius Advisors, L.p. 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Timothy Cober officer: See Remarks 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Sam Levinson 10 percent owner 9190 PRIORITY WAY WEST DRIVE, SUITE 300, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46240
Reanae Clark officer: See remarks 14755 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 810, DALLAS TX 75254
Michael Karicher officer: See Remarks 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Noah Beren director C/O GF INVESTMENTS, 810 7TH AVE., 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Shmuel Lieberman director C/O GF INVESTMENTS, 810 7TH AVE 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Hudson Investors, Ltd. 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ortelius Capital Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kevin Detz officer: Chief Financial Officer 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Howard Steven Garfield officer: Chief Accounting Officer 15601 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 600, ADDISON TX 75001
Benjamin P Harris director WP CAREY & CO LLC, 50 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020
Conversant Gp Holdings Llc director, 10 percent owner 90 PARK AVENUE 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Conversant Dallas Parkway (a) Lp director, 10 percent owner CONVERSANT DALLAS PARKWAY (A) LP, 25 DEFOREST AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Conversant Dallas Parkway (b) Lp director, 10 percent owner CONVERSANT DALLAS PARKWAY (B) LP, 25 DEFOREST AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901