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Sonida Senior Living (Sonida Senior Living) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-125.47 (As of Dec23)


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What is Sonida Senior Living Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Sonida Senior Living's earnings power value is $-125.47. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Sonida Senior Living Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sonida Senior Living Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Sonida Senior Living Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -558.03 -449.89 -116.13 -143.76 -125.47

Sonida Senior Living Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -143.76 -126.11 -144.29 -130.24 -125.47

Competitive Comparison of Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Sonida Senior Living Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Sonida Senior Living's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 311.9
DDA 48.1
Operating Margin % -7.90
SGA * 25% 12.0
Tax Rate % 0.62
Maintenance Capex 14.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 4.1
Short-Term Debt 42.3
Long-Term Debt 587.1
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 7.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -7.90%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $311.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -7.90%, Average Adjusted SGA = 12.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 311.9 * -7.90% +12.0 = $-12.660764037 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.62%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-12.660764037 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -12.660764037 * ( 1 - 0.62% ) = $-12.582647122892 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 48.1 * 0.5 * 0.62% = $0.148510666 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -12.582647122892 + 0.148510666 = $-12.434136456892 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Sonida Senior Living's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $14.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Sonida Senior Living's current cash and cash equivalent = $4.1 Mil.
Sonida Senior Living's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 587.1 + 42.3 = $629.422 Mil.
Sonida Senior Living's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 7.3 Mil.

Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -12.434136456892 - 14.2)/ 9%+4.1-629.422 )/7.3
=-125.47

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -125.47490454089-34.06 )/-125.47490454089
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Sonida Senior Living  (NYSE:SNDA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Sonida Senior Living Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sonida Senior Living's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sonida Senior Living (Sonida Senior Living) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16301 Quorum Drive, Suite 160A, Addison, TX, USA, 75001
Sonida Senior Living Inc is an owner-operator of senior housing communities in the United States in terms of resident capacity. The company provides senior living services to the elderly, including independent living, assisted living, Respite Care and Temporary Care Programs, Home Care Services, and memory care services. Its objective is to provide value to residents by providing quality senior housing services at reasonable prices. The basic service of the company is comprised of meals, housekeeping, laundry, 24-hour staffing, transportation, social and recreational activities, and healthcare monitoring.
Executives
Ortelius Advisors, L.p. 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Timothy Cober officer: See Remarks 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Sam Levinson 10 percent owner 9190 PRIORITY WAY WEST DRIVE, SUITE 300, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46240
Reanae Clark officer: See remarks 14755 PRESTON ROAD, SUITE 810, DALLAS TX 75254
Michael Karicher officer: See Remarks 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Noah Beren director C/O GF INVESTMENTS, 810 7TH AVE., 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Shmuel Lieberman director C/O GF INVESTMENTS, 810 7TH AVE 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Hudson Investors, Ltd. 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ortelius Capital Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 450 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2700, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kevin Detz officer: Chief Financial Officer 16301 QUORUM DRIVE, SUITE 160A, ADDISON TX 75001
Howard Steven Garfield officer: Chief Accounting Officer 15601 DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 600, ADDISON TX 75001
Benjamin P Harris director WP CAREY & CO LLC, 50 ROCKEFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020
Conversant Gp Holdings Llc director, 10 percent owner 90 PARK AVENUE 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10016
Conversant Dallas Parkway (a) Lp director, 10 percent owner CONVERSANT DALLAS PARKWAY (A) LP, 25 DEFOREST AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Conversant Dallas Parkway (b) Lp director, 10 percent owner CONVERSANT DALLAS PARKWAY (B) LP, 25 DEFOREST AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901