What is TECO Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where TECO Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
TECO Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
TECO Energy (TECO Energy) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
TECO Energy Inc was incorporated in Florida in 1981 as part of a restructuring in which it became the parent corporation of Tampa Electric Company. The Company is an energy-related holding company with five core businesses, consisting of regulated electric and gas utility operations in Florida and other operating companies engaged in coal mining and synthetic fuel production, waterborne transportation services and unregulated electric generation with long-term contracts and regulated electricity distribution in Guatemala. In 2000 and 2001, the Company announced a series of investments in unregulated domestic power generation facilities outside of Florida, which were made in the 2000 through 2003 period. In the same period, the Company also invested in other smaller unregulated energy service providers within Florida. These investments were made in anticipation of a movement toward competitive energy markets in Florida and other states in which the Company was investing in new power plants. In 2003, the Company announced its revised business strategy, which was to focus on its Florida utilities and other profitable operating companies and to reduce the risk to cash flow and earnings from its involvement in the merchant power sector. Since that announcement, the Company has taken a number of steps that have eliminated its merchant power risk and improved its financial results. The Company's regulated utility companies, Tampa Electric and Peoples Gas operate in the high-growth Florida market. Tampa Electric serves almost 720,000 retail customers in a 2,000-square-mile service area in West Central Florida and has electric generating plants with a winter peak generating capacity of 4,730 MW. PGS, Florida's largest gas distribution utility, serves more than 360,000 residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generating customers in all major metropolitan areas of the state, with a total natural gas throughput of almost 1.8 billion therms in 2015.. Peoples Gas System, a division of Tampa Electric Company, is engaged in the purchase and distribution of natural gas for residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generation customers in Florida. The Company's other energy-related operating companies are: TECO Coal, TECO Transport and TECO Guatemala. TECO Coal, through its subsidiaries, operates 13 surface and 27 underground mines and related coal processing facilities in eastern Kentucky, Tennessee and southwestern Virginia producing metallurgical-grade and high-quality steam coals. TECO Transport, the Company's waterborne transportation company, through its subsidiaries, operates a fleet of inland river barges and towboats on the Ohio, Mississippi and Illinois rivers and their tributaries; a fleet of eight oceangoing tug-barge combination units and three ships that operate in the Gulf of Mexico and world wide; and a dry-bulk storage and transfer terminal located on the Mississippi River southeast of New Orleans. TECO
Executives
| Sherrill W Hudson |
director |
201 SOUTH BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, 34TH FLOOR, MIAMI CENTER, MIAMI FL 33131 |
| Paul L Whiting |
director |
2910 BAY TO BAY BLVD #200, TAMPA FL 33629 |
| Evelyn V Follit |
director |
200 TAYLOR ST STE 400, FORTH WORTH TX 76102 |
| Dubose Ausley |
director |
C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111 |
| William P Sovey |
director |
5349 WINDING CREEK ROAD, ROCKFORD IL 61114 |
| Shirley M Payne |
officer: VP-Corp Accounting and Tax |
C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111 |
| Ira D Hall |
director |
C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111 |
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