Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (Teva Pharmaceutical Industries) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 26, 2024)

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What is Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Teva Pharmaceutical Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-7.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (NYSE:TEVA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (Teva Pharmaceutical Industries) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Drug Manufacturers » Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (NYSE:TEVA) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

TEVJF:USA TEVA:Mexico TEVA:Israel 0LER:UK TEV:Germany TEV:Germany TEV:Germany T1EV34:Brazil TEVA:Austria

Address

124 Dvora HaNevi’a Street, Tel Aviv, ISR, 6944020

Website

https://www.tevapharm.com

Teva Pharmaceutical, based in Israel, is the leading generic drug manufacturer in the world. Teva derives half of its sales from North America and makes up a high-single-digit percentage of the total number of generic prescriptions in the U.S. It also has a significant presence in Europe, Japan, Russia, and Israel. Besides generics, Teva has a portfolio of innovative medicines and biosimilars in three main therapeutic areas: central nervous system with Copaxone, Ajovy and Austedo; respiratory with Qvar and ProAir; and oncology with Truxima, Herzuma, and Bendeka/Treanda. Teva also sells active pharmaceutical ingredients, offers contract manufacturing services, and owns Anda, a U.S.-based generic and specialty drug distributor.

Executives

Dov Bergwerk	officer: Acting Chief Legal Officer	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Vikki L Conway	officer: See "Remarks"	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Varda Shalev	director	MATAM PARK, BUILDING #5, HAIFA L3 3508409
Eliyahu Sharon Kalif	officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Amir Weiss	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Angus Grant	officer: EVP, Business Development	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Eric A Hughes	officer: See "Remarks"	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Sven Dethlefs	officer: EVP Global Marketing&Portfolio	5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Eric Drape	officer: Executive VP Global Operations	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
David Matthew Stark	officer: Exec. VP Chief Legal Officer	5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Richard Daniell	officer: Exec. VP, European Commercial	5 BASEL STREET, PO BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Richard D Francis	officer: President and CEO	IM LANGACHER 44, GREIFENSEE V8 8606
Hafrun Fridriksdottir	officer: Executive VP, Global R&D	400 INTERPACE PARKWAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Eli Shani	officer: EVP,Global Marketing&Portfolio	C/O TEVA, 5 BASEL STREET, P.O. BOX 3190, PETACH TIKVA L3 4951033
Tal Zvi Zaks	director	C/O ADAPTIMMUNE THERAPEUTICS PLC, 60 JUBILEE AVE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON, OXFORDSHIRE X0 OX14 4RX