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TG Venture Acquisition (TG Venture Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is TG Venture Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TG Venture Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



TG Venture Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


TG Venture Acquisition  (NAS:TGVC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


TG Venture Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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TG Venture Acquisition (TG Venture Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1390 Market Street, Suite 200, San Francisco, CA, USA, 94102
TG Venture Acquisition Corp is a newly organized, blank check company.
Executives
Wolverine Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 175 WEST JACKSON, SUITE 340, CHICAGO IL 60604
High Income Securities Fund 10 percent owner US BANCORP FUND SERVICES LLC, 615 EAST MICHIGAN STREET, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Special Opportunities Fund, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O US BANCORP FUND SERVICES, LLC, 615 EAST MICHIGAN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Phillip Goldstein 10 percent owner 60 HERITAGE DRIVE, PLEASANTVILLE NY 10570
Andrew Dakos 10 percent owner 250 PEHLE AVE., SUITE 708, SADDLE BROOK NJ 07663
Investors, Llp Bulldog 10 percent owner PARK 80 WEST - PLAZA TWO, 250 PEHLE AVE. SUITE 708, SADDLE BROOK NJ 07663
Patrick Tsang director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO WICKHAMS CARY II, PO BOX 3170, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 00000
Philip Benedict Rettger director, officer: CFO PO BOX 605, KETTLE FALLS, WASHINGTON WA 99141
Ma Jason Cheng Yuen director 2121 AVENUE OF THE STARS,, SUITE 2320, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Komal Ahmad director 300 BERRY STREET, #1313, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94158
Michael Lewis Alexander director SUITE 1975, LEVEL 19, TWO IFC,, 8 FINANCE STREET, HONG KONG F4 00000
Tsangs Group Holdings Ltd 10 percent owner ROOM 6801, 68TH FLOOR,, 99 QUEENS ROAD CENTRAL, CENTRAL,, HONG KONG F4 999077