What is Savanna Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry
For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Savanna Energy Services's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Savanna Energy Services Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Savanna Energy Services (TSX:SVY) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Savanna Energy Services Corp was incorporated under the Alberta Business Corporations Act on March 22, 2001. It is a drilling, well servicing and oilfield rentals company with operations in Canada, the United States and Australia. It provides a variety of services in the oil and natural gas industry. The corporate segment provides management and administrative services to all of the Company's subsidiaries and their respective operations. The services segment provides well servicing services and rental equipment to the oil and gas industry. The drilling segment provides contract drilling services to the oil and gas industry. The Company's overall business is conducted through two divisions: contract drilling and oilfield services. The Company's equipment fleet is among the newest and technically in the industry and its commitment to talent and technology has enabled the Company to build a presence within the oilfield services sector. It has also expanded its customer base to international markets, diversifying geographically into growing and emerging markets. The Company operates through a number of wholly-owned subsidiaries and several partnerships with Aboriginal communities that are partially owned by the Company.
Savanna Energy Services (TSX:SVY) Headlines
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