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ZKGC New Energy (ZKGC New Energy) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is ZKGC New Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZKGC New Energy's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ZKGC New Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ZKGC New Energy  (OTCPK:ZKGCF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ZKGC New Energy Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ZKGC New Energy (ZKGC New Energy) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
12 Xinxiangdi Jiari, Chengmai County, Hainan Province, Laocheng Town, Laocheng, CHN, 571924
Website
ZKGC New Energy Ltd is a builder, owner, operator, and manager of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations and a provider of EV charging equipment and networked EV charging services. The company offers residential and commercial EV charging equipment, enabling EV drivers to recharge at various location types. Its line of products and services is its Charging Cloud SAAS Platform, EV charging equipment, and EV charging services. The SAAS network provides property owners, managers, parking companies, and state and municipal entities with cloud-based services that enable the remote monitoring and management of EV charging stations. The SAAS network also provides EV drivers with vital station information, including station location, availability and fee payment.
Executives
Zhuowei Zhong 10 percent owner 5 JUMEI BIG STREET, XIAOLAN TOWN, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528415
Zhifei Huang director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 3 FIVE ALLEY, DITANGKOU, PINGWANGGANGXIE, DATANG TOWN, SANSHUI DISTRICT, FOSHAN, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528143
Zhuowen Chen director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 401 BUILDING 23, JIANGPAN NEW RESIDENTIAL QUARTERS, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROV F4 528401
Zonghan Wu director, officer: Secretary 46 REEVES ROAD, PAKURANGA, AUCKLAND Q2 2140
Jinqi Liao 10 percent owner 12 XINXIANGDI JIARI, LAOCHENG TOWN, CHENGMAI COUNTY, HAINAN PROVINCE F4 571924

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