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Deere Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

: 18.50% (As of Jan. 2022)
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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Deere's forward rate of return for was 18.50%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

DE' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.57   Med: 11.74   Max: 22.2
Current: 18.52

During the past 13 years, Deere's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.20. The lowest was -5.57. And the median was 11.74.

DE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
72.85% of 151 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 7.19 vs DE: 18.52

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Deere Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Deere Annual Data
Trend Oct12 Oct13 Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.21 -1.10 8.15 14.80 19.30

Deere Quarterly Data
Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.85 16.37 17.94 19.30 18.50

Competitive Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

   

Deere Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Deere Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Deere's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2022 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.20419048/376.4+0.1765
=18.50 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Deere  (NYSE:DE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Deere Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Deere's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Deere Business Description

Deere logo
Industry
Address
One John Deere Place, Moline, IL, USA, 61265
Deere is the world's leading manufacturer of agricultural equipment, producing some of the most recognizable machines in the heavy machinery industry. The company is divided into four reportable segments: production and precision agriculture, small agriculture and turf, construction and forestry, and John Deere Capital. Its products are available through a robust dealer network, which includes over 1,900 dealer locations in North America and approximately 3,700 locations globally. John Deere Capital provides retail financing for machinery to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Deere product sales.
Executives
Howze Marc A officer: Group Pres., Life Sol & CAO DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Reed Cory J officer: Pres, Ag & Turf Prod & Prec Ag DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Von Pentz Markwart officer: PresAg Turf Small Ag & Turf DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Kalathur Rajesh officer: President, JD Financial & CIO DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Stone John H officer: Pres., WW Const & For & Pow Sy ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Field James M. officer: Pres., C&F Division DEERE & COMPANY ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE MOLINE IL 61265
Erwin Tami A. director 1095 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS NEW YORK NY 10036
Holliday Charles O Jr director 1007 MARKET ST WILMINGTON DE 19898
Jones Clayton M director 400 COLLINS ROAD NE CEDAR RAPIDS IA 52498
Smith Sherry M director PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN"> Ownership Information: SMITH SHERRY M a.header:link {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:visited {color: #3b4fae; font-weight: bold; text-decoration: underline;} a.header:hover {color: #191970;}
Page Gregory R director EATON CENTER 1111 SUPERIOR AVENUE CLEVELAND OH 44114
Heuberger Alan Cletus director 2365 CARILLON POINT KIRKLAND WA 98033
Talton Sheila director C/O ACCO BRANDS CORPORATION 300 TOWER PARKWAY LINCOLNSHIRE IL 60201
Jain Dipak C director 130 EAST RANDOLPH DRIVE CHICAGO IL 60601
Stockton Dmitri L director 777 LONG RIDGE ROAD SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL C/O CORP. SECRETARY STAMFORD CT 06902

Deere Headlines

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