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Marathon Petroleum (STU:MPN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €9.19 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.407. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €9.19 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Marathon Petroleum's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 33.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 32.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Marathon Petroleum was 32.50% per year. The lowest was 17.30% per year. And the median was 24.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-20), Marathon Petroleum's current stock price is €160.40. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €9.19. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 17.45.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 21.70. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.77.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.38 2.74 4.03 6.47 8.70

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.99 7.88 9.47 8.70 9.19

Competitive Comparison of Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Marathon Petroleum's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.407/131.7762*131.7762
=2.407

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.733 100.560 0.961
201409 0.948 100.428 1.244
201412 -0.203 99.070 -0.270
201503 1.348 99.621 1.783
201506 1.014 100.684 1.327
201509 0.921 100.392 1.209
201512 0.170 99.792 0.224
201603 -0.702 100.470 -0.921
201606 2.650 101.688 3.434
201609 -0.523 101.861 -0.677
201612 0.485 101.863 0.627
201703 0.879 102.862 1.126
201706 0.341 103.349 0.435
201709 2.053 104.136 2.598
201712 3.320 104.011 4.206
201803 -1.507 105.290 -1.886
201806 3.090 106.317 3.830
201809 0.626 106.507 0.775
201812 2.320 105.998 2.884
201903 0.502 107.251 0.617
201906 1.919 108.070 2.340
201909 2.401 108.329 2.921
201912 1.463 108.420 1.778
202003 -2.401 108.902 -2.905
202006 -0.283 108.767 -0.343
202009 0.897 109.815 1.076
202012 1.103 109.897 1.323
202103 0.194 111.754 0.229
202106 1.368 114.631 1.573
202109 -2.035 115.734 -2.317
202112 4.671 117.630 5.233
202203 3.226 121.301 3.505
202206 11.391 125.017 12.007
202209 3.707 125.227 3.901
202212 7.374 125.222 7.760
202303 7.522 127.348 7.784
202306 7.717 128.729 7.900
202309 10.726 129.860 10.884
202312 1.441 129.419 1.467
202403 2.407 131.776 2.407

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Marathon Petroleum  (STU:MPN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=160.40/9.19
=17.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 21.70. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.77.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marathon Petroleum (STU:MPN) Business Description

Industry
Address
539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, North Dakota, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, California, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed master limited partnership, MPLX.

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