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Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 70.83 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-29), Costco Wholesale's current share price is €682.10. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 was €9.63. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 70.83.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:CTO' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 36.03   Med: 46.6   Max: 73.62
Current: 70.01

During the past years, Costco Wholesale's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 73.62. The lowest was 36.03. And the median was 46.60.

FRA:CTO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
91.27% of 126 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 15.415 vs FRA:CTO: 70.01

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was €-0.625. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €9.63 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.82 52.98 59.84 60.76 55.67

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 51.37 55.31 55.67 56.07 71.43

Competitive Comparison of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=682.10/9.63
=70.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Feb. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2024)
=-0.625/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.625

Current CPI (Feb. 2024) = 129.4194.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201405 2.822 100.373 3.639
201408 -0.605 100.352 -0.780
201411 1.039 99.635 1.350
201502 0.573 99.032 0.749
201505 3.371 100.333 4.348
201508 0.452 100.548 0.582
201511 0.203 100.135 0.262
201602 0.341 100.040 0.441
201605 2.802 101.355 3.578
201608 -2.059 101.617 -2.622
201611 4.474 101.829 5.686
201702 -0.049 102.779 -0.062
201705 2.187 103.256 2.741
201708 2.024 103.587 2.529
201711 2.292 104.072 2.850
201802 -0.732 105.052 -0.902
201805 2.911 106.148 3.549
201808 0.973 106.383 1.184
201811 2.876 106.338 3.500
201902 -1.605 106.649 -1.948
201905 2.894 108.048 3.466
201908 2.600 108.245 3.109
201911 2.829 108.519 3.374
202002 0.153 109.139 0.181
202005 2.479 108.175 2.966
202008 6.447 109.662 7.609
202011 3.339 109.793 3.936
202102 -0.995 110.968 -1.160
202105 4.271 113.576 4.867
202108 3.531 115.421 3.959
202111 4.341 117.269 4.791
202202 -0.638 119.703 -0.690
202205 0.793 123.323 0.832
202208 2.768 124.958 2.867
202211 3.427 125.607 3.531
202302 4.837 126.928 4.932
202305 1.493 128.314 1.506
202308 4.475 129.538 4.471
202311 7.508 129.548 7.501
202402 -0.625 129.419 -0.625

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Costco Wholesale  (FRA:CTO) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Costco Wholesale (FRA:CTO) Business Description

Address
999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Costco operates a membership-based, no-frills retail model, predicated on offering a select product assortment in bulk quantities at bargain prices. The firm avoids maintaining costly product displays by keeping inventory on pallets and limits distribution expenses by storing its inventory at point of sale in the warehouse. Given Costco's frugal cost structure, the firm is able to price its merchandise below competing retailers, driving high sales volume per warehouse and allowing the retailer to generate strong profits on thin margins. Costco operates nearly 600 warehouses in the United States and boasts over 60% market share in the domestic warehouse club industry. Internationally, Costco operates another 270 warehouses, primarily in markets such as Canada, Mexico, Japan, and the U.K.