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McDonald's (FRA:MDO) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 37.85 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-30), McDonald's's current share price is €255.10. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was €6.74. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 37.85.

The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:MDO' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 24.88   Med: 36.38   Max: 44.92
Current: 36.53

During the past years, McDonald's's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 44.92. The lowest was 24.88. And the median was 36.38.

FRA:MDO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
82.2% of 118 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 15.82 vs FRA:MDO: 36.53

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was €2.182. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €6.74 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.49 40.07 43.41 38.60 39.59

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.60 39.56 41.54 35.58 39.59

Competitive Comparison of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=255.10/6.74
=37.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.182/129.4194*129.4194
=2.182

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.972 99.695 1.262
201406 0.665 100.560 0.856
201409 0.926 100.428 1.193
201412 0.615 99.070 0.803
201503 1.251 99.621 1.625
201506 1.021 100.684 1.312
201509 1.463 100.392 1.886
201512 0.784 99.792 1.017
201603 1.356 100.470 1.747
201606 0.915 101.688 1.165
201609 1.940 101.861 2.465
201612 0.164 101.863 0.208
201703 1.265 102.862 1.592
201706 0.918 103.349 1.150
201709 1.307 104.136 1.624
201712 0.493 104.011 0.613
201803 1.109 105.290 1.363
201806 0.791 106.317 0.963
201809 1.943 106.507 2.361
201812 0.722 105.998 0.882
201903 1.727 107.251 2.084
201906 1.529 108.070 1.831
201909 2.066 108.329 2.468
201912 1.379 108.420 1.646
202003 1.282 108.902 1.524
202006 -0.615 108.767 -0.732
202009 2.886 109.815 3.401
202012 1.674 109.897 1.971
202103 1.963 111.754 2.273
202106 1.380 114.631 1.558
202109 2.390 115.734 2.673
202112 2.331 117.630 2.565
202203 2.104 121.301 2.245
202206 0.230 125.017 0.238
202209 2.599 125.227 2.686
202212 2.145 125.222 2.217
202303 2.435 127.348 2.475
202306 1.442 128.729 1.450
202309 3.149 129.860 3.138
202312 2.182 129.419 2.182

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


McDonald's  (FRA:MDO) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


McDonald's (FRA:MDO) Business Description

Industry
Address
110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the largest restaurant owner-operator in the world, with 2022 system sales of $116 billion across more than 40,000 stores and 115 markets. McDonald's pioneered the franchise model, building its footprint through partnerships with independent restaurant franchisees and master franchise partners around the globe. The firm earns roughly 60% of its revenue from franchise royalty fees and lease payments, with most of the remainder coming from company-operated stores across its three core segments: the United States, internationally operated markets, and international developmental/licensed markets.

McDonald's (FRA:MDO) Headlines

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