TLYS (Tilly's) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.16 (As of Aug. 17, 2026) — 48% Below Median

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TLYS Tilly's Inc TLYS
52 GF Score
Price $3.99
GF Value $4.23
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Tilly's TLYS -0.50% 52 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.16 as of Aug. 17, 2026, which is 48% below its 10-year median of 0.31. GuruFocus rates TLYS with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of $4.23 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 803 Retail - Cyclical companies, Tilly's ranks better than 81.94% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-17), Tilly's's current share price is $3.99. Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was $24.59. Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 0.16.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TLYS' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.04   Med: 0.31   Max: 0.78
Current: 0.16

During the past years, Tilly's's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 0.78. The lowest was 0.04. And the median was 0.31.

TLYS's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked better than
81.94% of 803 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.5 vs TLYS: 0.16

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Tilly's's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was $4.141. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $24.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Tilly's  (NYSE:TLYS) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Tilly's Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.59 0.37 0.30 0.18 0.06

Tilly's Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.06 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.17

TLYS vs AKA, RENT, DLTH: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


TLYS
52GF Score
Tilly's Inc TLYS
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tilly's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=3.99/24.59
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tilly's's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Tilly's's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=4.141/333.0200*333.0200
=4.141

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Tilly's Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201607 4.792 240.628 6.632
201610 5.332 241.729 7.346
201701 5.585 242.839 7.659
201704 4.213 244.524 5.738
201707 4.828 244.786 6.568
201710 5.264 246.663 7.107
201801 5.583 247.867 7.501
201804 4.200 250.546 5.583
201807 5.303 252.006 7.008
201810 4.882 252.885 6.429
201901 5.719 251.712 7.566
201904 4.371 255.548 5.696
201907 5.450 256.571 7.074
201910 5.201 257.346 6.730
202001 5.765 257.971 7.442
202004 2.604 256.389 3.382
202007 4.574 259.101 5.879
202010 4.706 260.388 6.019
202101 5.989 261.582 7.625
202104 5.344 267.054 6.664
202107 6.491 273.003 7.918
202110 6.574 276.589 7.915
202201 6.507 281.148 7.708
202204 4.695 289.109 5.408
202207 5.576 296.276 6.268
202210 5.918 298.012 6.613
202301 6.010 299.170 6.690
202304 4.149 303.363 4.555
202307 5.362 305.691 5.841
202310 5.573 307.671 6.032
202401 5.789 308.417 6.251
202404 3.867 313.548 4.107
202407 5.424 314.540 5.743
202410 4.772 315.664 5.034
202501 4.900 317.671 5.137
202504 3.580 320.795 3.716
202507 4.998 323.048 5.152
202510 4.635 0.000
202601 5.152 325.252 5.275
202604 4.141 333.020 4.141

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.16 mean?
Tilly's (TLYS) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.16 as of Aug. 17, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Tilly's and its competitors. This is 48% below median its historical median of 0.31. Over the past decade, Tilly's' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.04 to 0.78. According to the industry distribution chart, Tilly's ranks #145 out of 803 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 18.1%.
Is Tilly's' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Tilly's' current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.16 is 48% below median its 10-year median of 0.31. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.04 to a high of 0.78. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.50. Tilly's' value of 0.16 is 68% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tilly's ranks #145 out of 803 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Tilly's has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tilly's' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to AKA and RENT?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Tilly's ranks #145 out of 803 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Tilly's in the top 18% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.50. Tilly's' value of 0.16 is 68% below this benchmark. Historically, Tilly's' own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.04 to 0.78 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.31 vs. the industry median of 0.50, Tilly's has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.50, based on 803 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tilly's's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 0.16 is 68% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Tilly's and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.50 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tilly's's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.16, which is 48% below median its own 10-year median of 0.31. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tilly's stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tilly's (TLYS) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $4.23, compared to a current price of $3.99 — trading 5.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.16, which is 48% below median its 10-year median of 0.31 and 68% below the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.50. Tilly's' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tilly's (TLYS), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.16 as of Aug. 17, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tilly's (TLYS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tilly's stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $3.99 is trading 5.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $4.23. GuruFocus considers Tilly's to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TLYS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 0.16 (48% below median its 10-year median of 0.31)
  • GF Value™: $4.23 vs. price of $3.99 (5.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 68% below the Retail - Cyclical median (#145 of 803)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TLYS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tilly's Business Description

Address 10 Whatney, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Tilly's Inc works as a specialty retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for young men, young women, boys, and girls. It offers an unparalleled selection of relevant brands, styles, colors, sizes, and price points. It delivers branded fashion and core styles for tops, outerwear, bottoms, and dresses. It also provides backpacks, hats, sunglasses, headphones, handbags, watches, and jewelry. It markets its products under the brand names of Vans, RVCA, Adidas, Nike SB, and Hurley, among others. It operates its stores in malls, lifestyle centers, power centers, community centers, outlet centers, street-front locations, and also through e-commerce.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TLYS

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$3.99
Price
$4.23
GF Value