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Caterpillar (CHIX:CATZ) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : CHF7.49 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was CHF2.353. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF7.49 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Caterpillar's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Caterpillar was 86.40% per year. The lowest was -32.10% per year. And the median was 11.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Caterpillar's current stock price is CHF290.00. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was CHF7.49. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 38.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 100.70. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.19.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.67 4.72 4.66 4.83 4.40

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.22 4.94 4.61 4.40 7.49

Competitive Comparison of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.353/129.4194*129.4194
=2.353

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 2.022 100.560 2.602
201409 1.813 100.428 2.336
201412 1.380 99.070 1.803
201503 0.710 99.621 0.922
201506 2.202 100.684 2.830
201509 1.275 100.392 1.644
201512 1.302 99.792 1.689
201603 -0.417 100.470 -0.537
201606 2.387 101.688 3.038
201609 0.951 101.861 1.208
201612 1.629 101.863 2.070
201703 1.744 102.862 2.194
201706 2.873 103.349 3.598
201709 1.168 104.136 1.452
201712 -0.257 104.011 -0.320
201803 0.278 105.290 0.342
201806 2.256 106.317 2.746
201809 1.269 106.507 1.542
201812 2.145 105.998 2.619
201903 0.992 107.251 1.197
201906 3.293 108.070 3.944
201909 0.244 108.329 0.292
201912 2.857 108.420 3.410
202003 1.013 108.902 1.204
202006 1.644 108.767 1.956
202009 2.078 109.815 2.449
202012 2.335 109.897 2.750
202103 2.401 111.754 2.781
202106 2.522 114.631 2.847
202109 1.943 115.734 2.173
202112 1.063 117.630 1.170
202203 -0.632 121.301 -0.674
202206 2.975 125.017 3.080
202209 3.439 125.227 3.554
202212 3.625 125.222 3.747
202303 1.466 127.348 1.490
202306 4.444 128.729 4.468
202309 5.755 129.860 5.735
202312 5.368 129.419 5.368
202403 2.353 129.419 2.353

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Caterpillar  (CHIX:CATz) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=290.00/7.49
=38.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 100.70. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.19.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caterpillar (CHIX:CATZ) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.

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