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Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $5.66 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Phillips 66's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $3.527. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.66 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Phillips 66's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Phillips 66 was 18.60% per year. The lowest was 18.60% per year. And the median was 18.60% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Phillips 66's current stock price is $151.41. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $5.66. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 26.75.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Phillips 66 was 30.17. The lowest was 12.41. And the median was 20.41.


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.39 3.82 5.35 5.66

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.35 5.24 5.26 5.39 5.66

Competitive Comparison of Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Phillips 66's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=3.527/129.4194*129.4194
=3.527

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.401 99.695 1.819
201406 0.471 100.560 0.606
201409 -1.920 100.428 -2.474
201412 -0.454 99.070 -0.593
201503 0.491 99.621 0.638
201506 0.390 100.684 0.501
201509 0.817 100.392 1.053
201512 -1.814 99.792 -2.353
201603 -0.920 100.470 -1.185
201606 1.007 101.688 1.282
201609 0.420 101.861 0.534
201612 -0.278 101.863 -0.353
201703 -1.943 102.862 -2.445
201706 2.705 103.349 3.387
201709 0.066 104.136 0.082
201712 2.720 104.011 3.384
201803 0.327 105.290 0.402
201806 3.872 106.317 4.713
201809 -0.420 106.507 -0.510
201812 6.770 105.998 8.266
201903 -3.429 107.251 -4.138
201906 2.851 108.070 3.414
201909 1.763 108.329 2.106
201912 0.928 108.420 1.108
202003 -1.600 108.902 -1.901
202006 -0.399 108.767 -0.475
202009 -0.139 109.815 -0.164
202012 0.303 109.897 0.357
202103 -0.137 111.754 -0.159
202106 3.095 114.631 3.494
202109 3.749 115.734 4.192
202112 2.730 117.630 3.004
202203 1.702 121.301 1.816
202206 2.901 125.017 3.003
202209 4.987 125.227 5.154
202212 8.507 125.222 8.792
202303 1.758 127.348 1.787
202306 0.886 128.729 0.891
202309 4.092 129.860 4.078
202312 3.527 129.419 3.527

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Phillips 66  (NYSE:PSX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=151.41/5.66
=26.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Phillips 66 was 30.17. The lowest was 12.41. And the median was 20.41.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 12 refineries that have a total crude throughput capacity of 1.9 million barrels per day, or mmb/d. In 2023, the Rodeo, California, facility will cease operations and be converted to produce renewable diesel. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets and includes DCP Midstream, which holds 600 mbd of NGL fractionation and 22,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins.
Executives
Zhanna Golodryga officer: Executive Vice President PO BOX 10247, BIRMINGHAM AL 35202-0247
Vanessa Allen Sutherland officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 650 W PEACHTREE ST NW, ATLANTA GA 30308
Joseph Scott Pruitt officer: Vice President and Controller 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Kevin J Mitchell officer: Exec. VP, Finance and CFO 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Timothy D. Roberts officer: Executive Vice President C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Greg C. Garland officer: Chairman, Pres. and CEO-Desig 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Brian Mandell officer: Senior Vice President 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gregory Hayes director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Paula Ann Johnson officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec (Desig) 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
Richard G Harbison officer: Senior VP, Refining 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Robert A Herman officer: Executive Vice President 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, 9TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042
Douglas T Terreson director 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Denise R Singleton director 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Mark E Lashier officer: President and COO 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Charles M Holley director

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