PSX (Phillips 66) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $7.01 (As of Mar. 2026)

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PSX Phillips 66 PSX
64 GF Score
Price $211.68
GF Value $138.49
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Phillips 66 PSX +0.51% 64 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.01 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates PSX with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $138.49 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Phillips 66's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-7.057. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $7.01 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Phillips 66's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Phillips 66 was 19.90% per year. The lowest was 11.10% per year. And the median was 19.50% per year.

As of today (2026-08-02), Phillips 66's current stock price is $211.68. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $7.01. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.20.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Phillips 66 was 30.99. The lowest was 12.41. And the median was 20.48.


Phillips 66  (NYSE:PSX) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=211.68/7.01
=30.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Phillips 66 was 30.99. The lowest was 12.41. And the median was 20.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.82 5.42 5.79 6.58 7.44

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.55 6.61 6.70 7.44 7.01

PSX vs VLO, MPC, DINO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


PSX
64GF Score
Phillips 66 PSX
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Phillips 66's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-7.057/330.2130*330.2130
=-7.057

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.007 241.018 1.380
201609 0.420 241.428 0.574
201612 -0.278 241.432 -0.380
201703 -1.943 243.801 -2.632
201706 2.705 244.955 3.646
201709 0.066 246.819 0.088
201712 2.720 246.524 3.643
201803 0.327 249.554 0.433
201806 3.872 251.989 5.074
201809 -0.420 252.439 -0.549
201812 6.770 251.233 8.898
201903 -3.429 254.202 -4.454
201906 2.851 256.143 3.675
201909 1.763 256.759 2.267
201912 0.928 256.974 1.192
202003 -1.600 258.115 -2.047
202006 -0.399 257.797 -0.511
202009 -0.139 260.280 -0.176
202012 0.303 260.474 0.384
202103 -0.137 264.877 -0.171
202106 3.095 271.696 3.762
202109 3.749 274.310 4.513
202112 2.730 278.802 3.233
202203 1.702 287.504 1.955
202206 2.901 296.311 3.233
202209 4.987 296.808 5.548
202212 9.151 296.797 10.181
202303 1.758 301.836 1.923
202306 0.886 305.109 0.959
202309 4.680 307.789 5.021
202312 3.527 306.746 3.797
202403 -2.000 312.332 -2.114
202406 4.064 314.175 4.271
202409 1.848 315.301 1.935
202412 1.681 315.605 1.759
202503 -0.575 319.799 -0.594
202506 0.632 322.561 0.647
202509 1.571 324.800 1.597
202512 5.067 324.054 5.163
202603 -7.057 330.213 -7.057

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.01 mean?
Phillips 66 (PSX) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.01 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Phillips 66 and its competitors.
Is Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Phillips 66's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.01. Overall, Phillips 66 has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and MPC?
Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $7.01 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Phillips 66 and its competitors. Phillips 66's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.01. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Phillips 66 stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $138.49, compared to a current price of $211.68 — trading 52.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.01. Phillips 66's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Phillips 66 (PSX), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $7.01 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Phillips 66 (PSX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Phillips 66 stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $211.68 is trading 52.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $138.49. GuruFocus considers Phillips 66 to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for PSX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $7.01
  • GF Value™: $138.49 vs. price of $211.68 (52.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PSX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Phillips 66 Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner that owns or holds interest in 10 refineries with a total crude throughput capacity of 2.0 million barrels per day, or mmb/d, at the end of 2025. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets. It includes 70,000 miles of crude oil, refined petroleum product, NGL and natural gas pipeline systems, and a comprehensive set of refined petroleum product, NGL and crude oil terminals, gathering and processing plants and fractionation facilities and various other storage and loading facilities. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities primarily in the United States and the Middle East and produces olefins and polyolefins.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PSX

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$211.68
Price
$138.49
GF Value