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Microsoft (WBO:MSFT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €6.00 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.581. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €6.00 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Microsoft's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Microsoft was 39.00% per year. The lowest was 7.00% per year. And the median was 11.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-16), Microsoft's current stock price is €387.60. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €6.00. Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 64.60.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 31.94.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.21 3.51 3.89 5.25 5.56

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.26 5.56 5.97 5.73 6.00

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Microsoft's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.581/131.7762*131.7762
=2.581

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.744 100.560 0.975
201409 0.657 100.428 0.862
201412 0.279 99.070 0.371
201503 0.921 99.621 1.218
201506 0.555 100.684 0.726
201509 0.829 100.392 1.088
201512 0.410 99.792 0.541
201603 0.906 100.470 1.188
201606 0.652 101.688 0.845
201609 1.062 101.861 1.374
201612 0.521 101.863 0.674
201703 1.073 102.862 1.375
201706 0.994 103.349 1.267
201709 1.109 104.136 1.403
201712 0.580 104.011 0.735
201803 0.959 105.290 1.200
201806 0.818 106.317 1.014
201809 1.110 106.507 1.373
201812 0.588 105.998 0.731
201903 1.252 107.251 1.538
201906 1.380 108.070 1.683
201909 1.229 108.329 1.495
201912 0.835 108.420 1.015
202003 1.620 108.902 1.960
202006 1.616 108.767 1.958
202009 1.604 109.815 1.925
202012 0.900 109.897 1.079
202103 1.890 111.754 2.229
202106 1.780 114.631 2.046
202109 2.104 115.734 2.396
202112 1.009 117.630 1.130
202203 2.416 121.301 2.625
202206 2.239 125.017 2.360
202209 2.282 125.227 2.401
202212 0.619 125.222 0.651
202303 2.232 127.348 2.310
202306 2.451 128.729 2.509
202309 2.595 129.860 2.633
202312 1.120 129.419 1.140
202403 2.581 131.776 2.581

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Microsoft  (WBO:MSFT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=387.60/6
=64.60

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Microsoft was 71.78. The lowest was 13.66. And the median was 31.94.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Microsoft Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

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Microsoft (WBO:MSFT) Business Description

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Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).