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Ulta Beauty (BSP:U1LT34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 36.46 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-28), Ulta Beauty's current share price is R$107.91. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was R$2.96. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 36.46.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:U1LT34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 33.12   Med: 92.81   Max: 845.88
Current: 33.13

During the past years, Ulta Beauty's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 845.88. The lowest was 33.12. And the median was 92.81.

BSP:U1LT34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
79.54% of 435 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 13.15 vs BSP:U1LT34: 33.13

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was R$5.004. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$2.96 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 60.14 50.59 49.00 50.92 40.92

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.92 51.93 41.23 35.88 40.92

Competitive Comparison of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=107.91/2.96
=36.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Ulta Beauty's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=5.004/129.4194*129.4194
=5.004

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.060 100.023 0.078
201407 0.008 100.520 0.010
201410 -0.124 100.176 -0.160
201501 0.354 98.604 0.465
201504 0.027 99.824 0.035
201507 -0.058 100.691 -0.075
201510 -0.216 100.346 -0.279
201601 0.506 99.957 0.655
201604 0.317 100.947 0.406
201607 -0.111 101.524 -0.141
201610 -0.072 101.988 -0.091
201701 0.558 102.456 0.705
201704 0.248 103.167 0.311
201707 -0.185 103.278 -0.232
201710 -0.091 104.070 -0.113
201801 0.909 104.578 1.125
201804 0.568 105.708 0.695
201807 0.137 106.324 0.167
201810 0.124 106.695 0.150
201901 1.103 106.200 1.344
201904 0.660 107.818 0.792
201907 0.311 108.250 0.372
201910 0.072 108.577 0.086
202001 1.764 108.841 2.098
202004 -0.310 108.173 -0.371
202007 0.022 109.318 0.026
202010 1.012 109.861 1.192
202101 2.445 110.364 2.867
202104 1.465 112.673 1.683
202107 0.228 115.183 0.256
202110 -0.191 116.696 -0.212
202201 3.000 118.619 3.273
202204 1.606 121.978 1.704
202207 0.336 125.002 0.348
202210 -0.259 125.734 -0.267
202301 4.069 126.223 4.172
202304 0.971 127.992 0.982
202307 0.139 128.974 0.139
202310 -0.909 129.810 -0.906
202401 5.004 129.419 5.004

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Ulta Beauty  (BSP:U1LT34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ulta Beauty (BSP:U1LT34) Business Description

Address
1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
With 1,355 stores at the end of fiscal 2022 and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (42% of 2022 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (21% of 2022 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

Ulta Beauty (BSP:U1LT34) Headlines

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