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Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 31.64 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Union Pacific Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-28), Union Pacific's current share price is R$303.45. Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$9.59. Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 31.64.

The historical rank and industry rank for Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:UPAC34' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 26.78   Med: 41.95   Max: 86.42
Current: 31.68

During the past years, Union Pacific's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 86.42. The lowest was 26.78. And the median was 41.95.

BSP:UPAC34's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
68.54% of 410 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 17.605 vs BSP:UPAC34: 31.68

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Union Pacific's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$2.703. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$9.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Union Pacific Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Union Pacific Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Union Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 41.40 41.11 41.77 29.49 32.44

Union Pacific Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 27.90 27.72 27.05 32.44 32.09

Competitive Comparison of Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Railroads subindustry, Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Union Pacific Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=303.45/9.59
=31.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Union Pacific's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.703/129.4194*129.4194
=2.703

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Union Pacific Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.172 100.560 0.221
201409 0.638 100.428 0.822
201412 0.673 99.070 0.879
201503 0.857 99.621 1.113
201506 0.536 100.684 0.689
201509 0.830 100.392 1.070
201512 0.445 99.792 0.577
201603 1.623 100.470 2.091
201606 0.457 101.688 0.582
201609 0.907 101.861 1.152
201612 1.179 101.863 1.498
201703 1.029 102.862 1.295
201706 0.814 103.349 1.019
201709 1.128 104.136 1.402
201712 1.018 104.011 1.267
201803 1.042 105.290 1.281
201806 1.763 106.317 2.146
201809 2.117 106.507 2.572
201812 1.726 105.998 2.107
201903 1.611 107.251 1.944
201906 1.543 108.070 1.848
201909 2.097 108.329 2.505
201912 2.048 108.420 2.445
202003 2.400 108.902 2.852
202006 2.760 108.767 3.284
202009 1.807 109.815 2.130
202012 3.651 109.897 4.300
202103 2.994 111.754 3.467
202106 3.060 114.631 3.455
202109 3.103 115.734 3.470
202112 3.387 117.630 3.726
202203 2.725 121.301 2.907
202206 2.283 125.017 2.363
202209 3.919 125.227 4.050
202212 2.910 125.222 3.008
202303 2.274 127.348 2.311
202306 2.355 128.729 2.368
202309 2.330 129.860 2.322
202312 2.754 129.419 2.754
202403 2.703 129.419 2.703

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Union Pacific  (BSP:UPAC34) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Union Pacific Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Union Pacific's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) Business Description

Industry
Address
1400 Douglas Street, Omaha, NE, USA, 68179
Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two thirds of the U.S., UP generated $25 billion of revenue in 2022 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agriculture goods, chemicals, and automotive goods. UP owns about one fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and derives roughly 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.

Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) Headlines

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