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Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) E10 : R$12.70 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Union Pacific E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Union Pacific's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$3.349. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is R$12.70 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Union Pacific's average E10 Growth Rate was 5.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 12.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 12.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Union Pacific was 23.50% per year. The lowest was -8.20% per year. And the median was 12.60% per year.

As of today (2024-05-02), Union Pacific's current stock price is R$307.68. Union Pacific's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$12.70. Union Pacific's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 24.23.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Union Pacific was 41.59. The lowest was 18.10. And the median was 27.33.


Union Pacific E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Union Pacific's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Union Pacific E10 Chart

Union Pacific Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.64 8.90 11.31 12.50 12.05

Union Pacific Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.71 11.75 12.58 12.05 12.70

Competitive Comparison of Union Pacific's E10

For the Railroads subindustry, Union Pacific's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Union Pacific's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Union Pacific's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Union Pacific's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Union Pacific E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Union Pacific's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=3.349/129.4194*129.4194
=3.349

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Union Pacific Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 0.799 100.560 1.028
201409 0.894 100.428 1.152
201412 1.063 99.070 1.389
201503 1.021 99.621 1.326
201506 1.074 100.684 1.381
201509 1.464 100.392 1.887
201512 1.271 99.792 1.648
201603 1.072 100.470 1.381
201606 1.001 101.688 1.274
201609 1.106 101.861 1.405
201612 1.166 101.863 1.481
201703 1.032 102.862 1.298
201706 1.195 103.349 1.496
201709 1.175 104.136 1.460
201712 7.620 104.011 9.481
201803 1.377 105.290 1.693
201806 1.867 106.317 2.273
201809 2.208 106.507 2.683
201812 2.058 105.998 2.513
201903 1.853 107.251 2.236
201906 2.140 108.070 2.563
201909 2.286 108.329 2.731
201912 2.073 108.420 2.475
202003 2.626 108.902 3.121
202006 2.166 108.767 2.577
202009 2.713 109.815 3.197
202012 2.637 109.897 3.105
202103 2.818 111.754 3.263
202106 3.419 114.631 3.860
202109 3.392 115.734 3.793
202112 3.761 117.630 4.138
202203 3.197 121.301 3.411
202206 3.697 125.017 3.827
202209 3.998 125.227 4.132
202212 3.501 125.222 3.618
202303 3.477 127.348 3.534
202306 3.119 128.729 3.136
202309 3.099 129.860 3.088
202312 3.320 129.419 3.320
202403 3.349 129.419 3.349

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Union Pacific  (BSP:UPAC34) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Union Pacific's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=307.68/12.7
=24.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Union Pacific was 41.59. The lowest was 18.10. And the median was 27.33.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Union Pacific E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Union Pacific's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) Business Description

Address
1400 Douglas Street, Omaha, NE, USA, 68179
Omaha, Nebraska-based Union Pacific is the largest public railroad in North America. Operating on more than 30,000 miles of track in the western two thirds of the U.S., UP generated $25 billion of revenue in 2022 by hauling coal, industrial products, intermodal containers, agriculture goods, chemicals, and automotive goods. UP owns about one fourth of Mexican railroad Ferromex and derives roughly 10% of its revenue hauling freight to and from Mexico.

Union Pacific (BSP:UPAC34) Headlines

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