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Caterpillar (CHIX:CATZ) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 38.72 (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-15), Caterpillar's current share price is CHF290.00. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was CHF7.49. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 38.72.

The historical rank and industry rank for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:CATz' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 11.27   Med: 25.19   Max: 97.97
Current: 37.85

During the past years, Caterpillar's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 97.97. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.19.

CHIX:CATz's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
59.6% of 99 companies
in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry
Industry Median: 27 vs CHIX:CATz: 37.85

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was CHF2.353. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is CHF7.49 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.43 29.29 29.63 28.56 31.34

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.45 27.95 29.98 31.34 38.72

Competitive Comparison of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=290.00/7.49
=38.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.353/129.4194*129.4194
=2.353

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 2.022 100.560 2.602
201409 1.813 100.428 2.336
201412 1.380 99.070 1.803
201503 0.710 99.621 0.922
201506 2.202 100.684 2.830
201509 1.275 100.392 1.644
201512 1.302 99.792 1.689
201603 -0.417 100.470 -0.537
201606 2.387 101.688 3.038
201609 0.951 101.861 1.208
201612 1.629 101.863 2.070
201703 1.744 102.862 2.194
201706 2.873 103.349 3.598
201709 1.168 104.136 1.452
201712 -0.257 104.011 -0.320
201803 0.278 105.290 0.342
201806 2.256 106.317 2.746
201809 1.269 106.507 1.542
201812 2.145 105.998 2.619
201903 0.992 107.251 1.197
201906 3.293 108.070 3.944
201909 0.244 108.329 0.292
201912 2.857 108.420 3.410
202003 1.013 108.902 1.204
202006 1.644 108.767 1.956
202009 2.078 109.815 2.449
202012 2.335 109.897 2.750
202103 2.401 111.754 2.781
202106 2.522 114.631 2.847
202109 1.943 115.734 2.173
202112 1.063 117.630 1.170
202203 -0.632 121.301 -0.674
202206 2.975 125.017 3.080
202209 3.439 125.227 3.554
202212 3.625 125.222 3.747
202303 1.466 127.348 1.490
202306 4.444 128.729 4.468
202309 5.755 129.860 5.735
202312 5.368 129.419 5.368
202403 2.353 129.419 2.353

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Caterpillar  (CHIX:CATz) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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Caterpillar (CHIX:CATZ) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.

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