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Agrium (TSX:AGU) E10 : C$7.06 (As of Sep. 2017)


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What is Agrium E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Agrium's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2017 was C$-2.259. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is C$7.06 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2017.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

As of today (2024-05-26), Agrium's current stock price is C$144.58. Agrium's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2017 was C$7.06. Agrium's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 20.48.


Agrium E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Agrium's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Agrium E10 Chart

Agrium Annual Data
Trend Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.48 5.32 5.60 6.22 6.87

Agrium Quarterly Data
Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.74 6.87 6.94 7.26 7.06

Competitive Comparison of Agrium's E10

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Agrium's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Agrium's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Agrium's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Agrium's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Agrium E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Agrium's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2017 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2017 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2017)
=-2.259/103.3447*103.3447
=-2.259

Current CPI (Sep. 2017) = 103.3447.

Agrium Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
200712 1.243 88.491 1.452
200803 1.234 88.965 1.433
200806 4.066 91.177 4.609
200809 2.444 91.414 2.763
200812 0.987 89.518 1.139
200903 -0.481 90.071 -0.552
200906 2.647 90.940 3.008
200909 0.173 90.624 0.197
200912 0.200 90.703 0.228
201003 -0.010 91.335 -0.011
201006 3.403 91.809 3.831
201009 0.403 92.362 0.451
201012 0.867 92.836 0.965
201103 1.064 94.338 1.166
201106 4.434 94.654 4.841
201109 1.855 95.286 2.012
201112 1.228 94.970 1.336
201203 0.964 96.155 1.036
201206 5.592 96.076 6.015
201209 0.783 96.392 0.839
201212 2.316 95.760 2.499
201303 0.963 97.103 1.025
201306 5.178 97.182 5.506
201309 0.538 97.419 0.571
201312 0.745 96.945 0.794
201403 0.022 98.604 0.023
201406 4.635 99.473 4.815
201409 0.385 99.394 0.400
201412 0.381 98.367 0.400
201503 0.101 99.789 0.105
201506 5.824 100.500 5.989
201509 0.955 100.421 0.983
201512 2.002 99.947 2.070
201603 0.026 101.054 0.027
201606 5.261 102.002 5.330
201609 -0.380 101.765 -0.386
201612 0.654 101.449 0.666
201703 -0.107 102.634 -0.108
201706 5.358 103.029 5.374
201709 -2.259 103.345 -2.259

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Agrium  (TSX:AGU) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Agrium's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=144.58/7.06
=20.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Agrium E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Agrium's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Agrium (TSX:AGU) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
With more than 1,400 retail centers, Canada-based Agrium is the largest agricultural retailer in the United States, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, and seed directly to farm customers. The company's wholesale business produces and markets the three main crop nutrients--nitrogen, potash, and phosphate--with natural resources located mainly in Canada and the United States. The bulk of Agrium's sales are generated in the U.S., Canada, and Australia.

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