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Computer Task Group (Computer Task Group) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $18.73 (As of Sep23)


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What is Computer Task Group Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep23, Computer Task Group's earnings power value is $18.73. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 43.95

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Computer Task Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Computer Task Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Computer Task Group Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.68 11.23 13.37 15.41 17.80

Computer Task Group Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.05 17.80 17.64 18.72 18.73

Competitive Comparison of Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Computer Task Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Computer Task Group's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 359.0
DDA 3.2
Operating Margin % 2.14
SGA * 25% 17.9
Tax Rate % -4.68
Maintenance Capex 1.9
Cash and Cash Equivalents 24.1
Short-Term Debt 6.2
Long-Term Debt 13.4
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 14.9

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 2.14%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $359.0 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 2.14%, Average Adjusted SGA = 17.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 359.0 * 2.14% +17.9 = $25.544518736 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -4.68%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $25.544518736 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 25.544518736 * ( 1 - -4.68% ) = $26.740385380626 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 3.2 * 0.5 * -4.68% = $-0.075512595 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 26.740385380626 + -0.075512595 = $26.664872785626 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Computer Task Group's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.9 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Computer Task Group's current cash and cash equivalent = $24.1 Mil.
Computer Task Group's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13.4 + 6.2 = $19.598 Mil.
Computer Task Group's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 14.9 Mil.

Computer Task Group's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 26.664872785626 - 1.9)/ 9%+24.1-19.598 )/14.9
=18.73

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 18.733187788906-10.50 )/18.733187788906
= 43.95%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Computer Task Group  (NAS:CTG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Computer Task Group Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Computer Task Group (Computer Task Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
300 Corporate Parkway, Suite 214N, Amherst, NY, USA, 14226
Computer Task Group Inc is engaged in providing information technology services to its clients. The company divides its services into information technology solutions and information technology & other staffing. Its segments include North America IT Solutions and Services, Europe IT Solutions and Services, and Non-Strategic Technology Services. The firm derives most of its revenues from information technology & other staffing services. It mainly caters its services to technology service providers, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, and energy industries. The geographical segments are the United States, Luxembourg, Belgium, and other countries.
Executives
Thomas J Niehaus officer: Executive Vice President 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Gyde Filip J L director, officer: President and CEO C/O COMPUTER TASK GROUP INC, 800 DELAWARE AVE, BUFFALO NY 14209
Raj Rajgopal director C/O VIRTUSA CORPORATION, 2000 WEST PARK DRIVE, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581
Helvey Iii James R director 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Kathryn A Stein director 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Daniel J Sullivan director
Valerie Rahmani director 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Owen J Sullivan director 5301 NORTH IRONWOOD ROAD, MILWAUKEE WI 53217
David H Klein director 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Jeffrey D Gerkin officer: Executive Vice President 800 DELAWARE AVENUE, BUFFALO NY 14209
John M Laubacker officer: Chief Financial Officer & SVP 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Peter P Radetich officer: Sr Vice President & Secretary 300 CORPORATE PARKWAY SUITE 214N, AMHERST NY 14226
Brendan M Harrington officer: Chief Financial Officer Sr VP 800 DELAWARE AVENUE, BUFFALO NY 14209
Cliff Bleustein director, officer: President & CEO 800 DELAWARE AVENUE, BUFFALO NY 14209
Alfred Hamilton officer: Vice President 800 DELAWARE AVENUE, BUFFALO NY 14209