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Daybreak Oil & Gas (Daybreak Oil & Gas) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-0.01 (As of Feb23)


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What is Daybreak Oil & Gas Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Feb23, Daybreak Oil & Gas's earnings power value is $-0.01. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Daybreak Oil & Gas Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Daybreak Oil & Gas Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Daybreak Oil & Gas Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.32 -0.18 -0.10 -0.07 -0.01

Daybreak Oil & Gas Quarterly Data
May18 Aug18 Nov18 Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01

Competitive Comparison of Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Daybreak Oil & Gas Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Daybreak Oil & Gas's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.82
DDA 0.15
Operating Margin % -59.01
SGA * 25% 0.18
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.02
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.30
Short-Term Debt 0.42
Long-Term Debt 0.12
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 386.57

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -59.01%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.82 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -59.01%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.18,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.82 * -59.01% +0.18 = $-0.29988031 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-0.29988031 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.29988031 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $-0.29988031 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.15 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.29988031 + 0 = $-0.29988031 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Daybreak Oil & Gas's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.02 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Daybreak Oil & Gas's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.30 Mil.
Daybreak Oil & Gas's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.12 + 0.42 = $0.537 Mil.
Daybreak Oil & Gas's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 386.57 Mil.

Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Feb23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -0.29988031 - 0.02)/ 9%+0.30-0.537 )/386.57
=-0.01

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.0098098819021209-0.0003 )/-0.0098098819021209
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Daybreak Oil & Gas  (OTCPK:DBRM) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Daybreak Oil & Gas Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Daybreak Oil & Gas's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Daybreak Oil & Gas (Daybreak Oil & Gas) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1101 North Argonne Road, Suite A 211, Spokane Valley, WA, USA, 99212
Daybreak Oil & Gas Inc is a United States-based independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. It is developing its shallow oil reserves, where it owns a 3-D seismic survey under lease in Kern County, California, and Michigan. The company's operational projects include the East Slopes Project and the Michigan Basin Project.
Executives
Gaelic Resources Ltd 10 percent owner 14 ALBERT STREET, DOUGLAS Y8 IM1 2QA
Darren Williams director 9200 OAKDALE AVENUE, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 91311
James F Westmoreland director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO 1101 N. ARGONNE ROAD, SUITE A 211, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99212
James F. Meara director C/O 601 W. MAIN AVENUE, SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Timothy R Lindsey director 1101 N. ARGONNE ROAD, SUITE A211, SPOKANE VALLEY WA 99212
Maximilian Investors Llc 10 percent owner 152 WEST 57TH STREET, 54TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Wayne G Dotson director 601 W. MAIN AVE., SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Karol Lynn Adams officer: Corporate Secretary DAYBREAK OIL AND GAS, INC., 601 WEST MAIN AVE., SUITE 1012, SPOKANE WA 99201
Anna Moe other: Spouse of director 8305 NORTH COLTON PLACE, SPOKANE WA 99208
Keith Hooper 10 percent owner 1529 WEST ADAMS STREET, CHICAGO IL 60607
Benjamin Wade Anderson officer: Chief Operating Officer 1023 E 760 S, OREM UT 84097
Eric Moe officer: Chief Executive Officer 8305 NORTH COLTON PLACE, SPOKANE WA 99208
Robert N Martin director, officer: President 621 B 37 STREET SW, CALGARY A0 T3C 1R8
Jeffrey Robert Dworkin director, officer: Secretary 320 1001 13 AVENUE SW, CALGARY A0 T2R 0L5
Curtis Michael Charles Peter director 161 DES CEDRES, ST. EUSTACHE A8 J6R 4V7

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