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Encavis AG (FRA:ECV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-3.74 (As of Dec23)


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What is Encavis AG Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Encavis AG's earnings power value is €-3.74. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Encavis AG Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Encavis AG Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Encavis AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Encavis AG Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Encavis AG Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Encavis AG's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 371.2
DDA 145.9
Operating Margin % 23.06
SGA * 25% 0.0
Tax Rate % 2.05
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 309.0
Short-Term Debt 413.0
Long-Term Debt 1,446.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 161.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 23.06%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €371.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 23.06%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 371.2 * 23.06% +0.0 = €85.602671108 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.05%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €85.602671108 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 85.602671108 * ( 1 - 2.05% ) = €83.85124045713 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 145.9 * 0.5 * 2.05% = €1.492415826 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 83.85124045713 + 1.492415826 = €85.34365628313 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Encavis AG's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Encavis AG's current cash and cash equivalent = €309.0 Mil.
Encavis AG's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,446.0 + 413.0 = €1858.997 Mil.
Encavis AG's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 161.0 Mil.

Encavis AG's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 85.34365628313 - 0.0)/ 9%+309.0-1858.997 )/161.0
=-3.74

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.7368077526527-16.95 )/-3.7368077526527
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Encavis AG  (FRA:ECV) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Encavis AG Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Encavis AG (FRA:ECV) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Grosse Elbstrasse 59, Hamburg, DEU, 22767
Encavis AG is an independent solar park operator. Principally, it is engaged in the business of acquisition and operation of solar parks and onshore wind parks. Its operating segments are Photovoltaic Parks, Photovoltaic Service, Wind Parks, Asset Management, and Administration, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the Photovoltaic Parks segment. The Photovoltaic Parks segment comprised more than 169 solar parks with a total generation capacity of more than 1.3 GW, with parks located in different countries. Its geographical segments are Denmark, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Ireland, Finland, Italy, Netherlands, Austria, France, Sweden, and Spain.

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