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Steinhoff International Holdings NV (LTS:0RDG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €0.71 (As of Sep22)


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What is Steinhoff International Holdings NV Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep22, Steinhoff International Holdings NV's earnings power value is €0.71. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 73.64

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Steinhoff International Holdings NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Steinhoff International Holdings NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Steinhoff International Holdings NV Annual Data
Trend Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.72 4.13 2.12 1.27 0.85

Steinhoff International Holdings NV Semi-Annual Data
Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.27 - 0.85 -

Competitive Comparison of Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Steinhoff International Holdings NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Steinhoff International Holdings NV's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 9,413
DDA 543
Operating Margin % 6.08
SGA * 25% 804
Tax Rate % -32.75
Maintenance Capex 337
Cash and Cash Equivalents 989
Short-Term Debt 10,758
Long-Term Debt 2,801
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 4,228

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.08%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €9,413 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.08%, Average Adjusted SGA = 804,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 9,413 * 6.08% +804 = €1376.674752 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -32.75%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €1376.674752 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1376.674752 * ( 1 - -32.75% ) = €1827.5908002701 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 543 * 0.5 * -32.75% = €-88.959864 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1827.5908002701 + -88.959864 = €1738.6309362701 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €337 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Steinhoff International Holdings NV's current cash and cash equivalent = €989 Mil.
Steinhoff International Holdings NV's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,801 + 10,758 = €13559 Mil.
Steinhoff International Holdings NV's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 4,228 Mil.

Steinhoff International Holdings NV's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep22 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1738.6309362701 - 337)/ 9%+989-13559 )/4,228
=0.71

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 0.71173482673731-0.1876 )/0.71173482673731
= 73.64%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Steinhoff International Holdings NV  (LTS:0RDG) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Steinhoff International Holdings NV Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Steinhoff International Holdings NV (LTS:0RDG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cnr Adam Tas and Devon Valley Road, Building B2, Vineyard Office Park, Stellenbosch, WC, ZAF, 7600
Steinhoff International Holdings NV is a global holding company with investments in retail businesses in Africa, Australasia, Europe, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The company's four business segments include Pepco Group, Greenlit Brands, Pepkor Holdings, and Group services. The majority of the revenue comes from both Pepco Group and Pepkor Holdings. Pepco Group consists of the general merchandise retail business of Pepco and Poundland. Pepkor Holdings includes retail chains predominantly selling clothing, footwear, textiles, cell phones, airtime, and fast-moving consumer goods, with its revenue mainly derived from South Africa. The holding company operates globally, with the majority of sales coming from Africa and Europe.

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