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Zuora (ZUO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-3.02 (As of Jan24)


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What is Zuora Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Jan24, Zuora's earnings power value is $-3.02. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Zuora Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Zuora Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Zuora Annual Data
Trend Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - -2.84 -3.56 -3.02

Zuora Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.56 -3.42 -3.18 -3.32 -3.02

Competitive Comparison of Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Zuora Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Zuora's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 351.2
DDA 16.2
Operating Margin % -25.24
SGA * 25% 51.9
Tax Rate % -2.43
Maintenance Capex 11.3
Cash and Cash Equivalents 514.2
Short-Term Debt 6.8
Long-Term Debt 396.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 144.2

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -25.24%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $351.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -25.24%, Average Adjusted SGA = 51.9,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 351.2 * -25.24% +51.9 = $-36.744324166 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = -2.43%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-36.744324166 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -36.744324166 * ( 1 - -2.43% ) = $-37.638313572959 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 16.2 * 0.5 * -2.43% = $-0.196795638 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -37.638313572959 + -0.196795638 = $-37.835109210959 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Zuora's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $11.3 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Zuora's current cash and cash equivalent = $514.2 Mil.
Zuora's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 396.6 + 6.8 = $403.385 Mil.
Zuora's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 144.2 Mil.

Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jan24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -37.835109210959 - 11.3)/ 9%+514.2-403.385 )/144.2
=-3.02

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.0182697396479-10.26 )/-3.0182697396479
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Zuora  (NYSE:ZUO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Zuora Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Zuora's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Zuora (ZUO) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
101 Redwood Shores Parkway, Redwood City, CA, USA, 94065
Zuora Inc provides cloud-based software on a subscription basis that enables companies in various industries to launch, manage, and transform into a subscription business. The firm offers Zuora Central platform that acts as an intelligent subscription management hub that automates the subscription order-to-cash process, including quoting, billing, collections, analytics, and revenue recognition. Its products include Zuora Billing, Zuora CPQ, and Zuora Collect. Zuora caters to various industries comprising software, hardware, media, transportation, construction, healthcare, education, retail, Internet of Things, and others worldwide. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Amy Guggenheim Shenkan director C/O RITCHIE BROS. AUCTIONEERS INC., 9500 GLENLYON PARKWAY, BURNABY A1 V5J 0C6
Robert J. Traube officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Todd Mcelhatton officer: Chief Financial Officer 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Andrew M. Cohen officer: CLO and Corp. Secretary C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Matthew R Dobson officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Tien Tzuo director, 10 percent owner, officer: See Remarks C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Peter Hirsch officer: Chief Product & Tech Officer C/O ELLIE MAE, INC., 4420 ROSEWOOD DRIVE, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Kenneth A Goldman director C/O YAHOO! INC., 701 FIRST AVENUE, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Sri Srinivasan officer: Chief Product & Tech Officer C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Laura A. Clayton director C/O ZUORA, INC., 101 REDWOOD SHORES PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Sla Zurich Gp, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slaa Ii (gp), L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sla Zurich Aggregator, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sla Zurich Holdings, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sl Alpine Ii Aggregator Gp, L.l.c. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025