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Advanced Disposal Services (Advanced Disposal Services) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Advanced Disposal Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Advanced Disposal Services's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Advanced Disposal Services's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Advanced Disposal Services is

The historical rank and industry rank for Advanced Disposal Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ADSW's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Waste Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Advanced Disposal Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advanced Disposal Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advanced Disposal Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Advanced Disposal Services Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Advanced Disposal Services Quarterly Data
Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Advanced Disposal Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Waste Management subindustry, Advanced Disposal Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advanced Disposal Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Advanced Disposal Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advanced Disposal Services's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Advanced Disposal Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.49%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Advanced Disposal Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 30.30) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Advanced Disposal Services  (NYSE:ADSW) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Advanced Disposal Services Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Advanced Disposal Services's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Advanced Disposal Services (Advanced Disposal Services) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
90 Fort Wade Road, Suite 200, Ponte Vedra, FL, USA, 32081
Advanced Disposal Services Inc provides fresh ideas and solutions to the business of a clean environment. It offers non-hazardous solid waste collection, transfer, recycling and disposal services to the commercial, industrial, municipal and residential customers. It offers other services, such as landfill gas-to-energy operations at municipal solid waste landfills; management of third-party owned landfills; customer service charges relating to overdue payments, and customer administrative fees relating to customers. Geographically, it operates through the Southeast, Midwest and Eastern regions of the United States, as well as from the Commonwealth of the Bahamas.
Executives
Tanuja M Dehne director C/O SILVER BAY REALTY TRUST CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, MINNETONKA MN 55305
E Renae Conley director 414 SILVER AVE SW MS 1275, ALBUQUERQUE NM 87102-3289
B Clyde Preslar director 305 GREGSON DRIVE, CARY NC 27518
Melissa Westerman officer: Chief Accounting Officer 5950 HAZELTINE NATIONAL DRIVE, SUITE 650, ORLANDO FL 32822
Burke Richard L. Jr. director, officer: Chief Exec. Officer & Director 90 FORT WADE ROAD, PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
John S. Spegal officer: Chief Operating Officer 90 FORT WADE ROAD PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Steven R. Carn officer: Executive Vice President & CFO 90 FORT WADE ROAD PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Michael K Slattery officer: Senior VP, Gen Coun, Secretary 90 FORT WADE ROAD PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
Michael J Hoffman director 1400 WEST 94TH STREET, BLOOMINGTON MN 55431
Ernest J Mrozek director SERVICE MASTER, 2300 WARRENVILLE ROAD, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Highstar Capital Lp 10 percent owner 277 PARK AVENUE, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10172
Star Atlantic Waste Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner 277 PARK AVENUE, 45TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10172
Star Atlantic Gp, Inc. 10 percent owner 277 PARK AVENUE, 45TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10172
Matthew C. Gunnelson officer: Chief Accounting Officer 90 FORT WADE ROAD PONTE VEDRA FL 32081
William W. Westrate officer: Chief Administrative Officer 90 FORT WADE ROAD PONTE VEDRA FL 32081

Advanced Disposal Services (Advanced Disposal Services) Headlines

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