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AdvancePierre Foods Holdings (AdvancePierre Foods Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $11.22 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-25), AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $11.22.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for AdvancePierre Foods Holdings is -258.73%.

The historical rank and industry rank for AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

APFH's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.01
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec13 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.972.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.972*11.5406
=11.22

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (11.22 - 40.25) / 11.22
= -258.73 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AdvancePierre Foods Holdings  (NYSE:APFH) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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AdvancePierre Foods Holdings (AdvancePierre Foods Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
AdvancePierre Foods Holdings Inc was incorporated in Delaware on December 5, 2008 as Pierre Foods Holding Corporation and changed its name to AdvancePierre Foods Holdings, Inc., on March 16, 2016. The Company is a producer and distributor of value-added, ready-to-eat sandwiches, sandwich components and other entrées and snacks. It markets and distributes multiple product categories including ready-to-eat sandwiches, such as breakfast sandwiches, PB&J sandwiches and hamburgers; sandwich components, such as fully-cooked hamburger and chicken patties and Philly steaks; and other entrées and snacks, such as country fried steak, stuffed entrées, chicken tenders and cinnamon dough bites. The Company sells its value-added products to the foodservice, retail and convenience channels, as well as in the industrial channel. It operates in four segments Foodservice, Retail, Convenience and Industrial. Its Foodservice customers include national and regional distributors, who sells Company's products to end-customers including restaurant operators, schools, U.S. military and grocery deli counters. Its Retail segment serves an array of retail customers including national and regional grocery chains, major warehouse club stores, mass retailers and dollar stores. The Convenience segment represents outlet for ready-to-eat sandwiches and includes sales to vending providers. Industrial segment consists of sales to other food producers under short-term co-manufacturing agreements. Its competitors include American Food Group, CTI, Allied Specialty Foods, Devault Foods, Lopez Foods and JTM Food Group.
Executives
Stephen A Kaplan director 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Fund Gp I, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Capital Group Holdings Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Capital Group, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Capital I, L.p. 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Ocm Holdings I, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 333 SOUTH GRAND AVENUE, 28TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Oaktree Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 333 S GRAND AVE 28TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Gary L Perlin director 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, C/O CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP, MCLEAN VA 22102
Celeste A. Clark director C/O ADVANCEPIERRE FOODS HOLDINGS, INC., 9987 CARVER ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
Richard Dean Hollis director, other: Chairman of the Board 3603 HAVEN AVENUE, SUITE E, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Michael B Sims officer: CFO 250 EAST FIFTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Christopher D Sliva director, officer: CEO & President 2515 MCKINNEY AVENUE, SUITE 1200, DALLAS TX 75201
Simons John Nelson Jr director, officer: CEO 7931 EAGLE RANCH ROAD, FT. COLLINS CO 80528
Margaret M Cannella director C/O SCHRODERS, 875 THIRD AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022

AdvancePierre Foods Holdings (AdvancePierre Foods Holdings) Headlines

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