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Castle Biosciences (Castle Biosciences) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Castle Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-25), Castle Biosciences's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Castle Biosciences's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Castle Biosciences is

The historical rank and industry rank for Castle Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CSTL's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry.
Industry Median: 1.79
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Castle Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Castle Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Castle Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Castle Biosciences Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Castle Biosciences Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
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Competitive Comparison of Castle Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Castle Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Castle Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Castle Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Castle Biosciences's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Castle Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Castle Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 24.37) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Castle Biosciences  (NAS:CSTL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Castle Biosciences Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Castle Biosciences's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Castle Biosciences (Castle Biosciences) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
505 S. Friendswood Drive, Suite 401, Friendswood, TX, USA, 77546
Castle Biosciences Inc is a commercial-stage dermatological cancer company. It is focused on providing physicians and their patients with personalized, clinically actionable genomic information to make more accurate treatment decisions. The product portfolio of the company includes Cutaneous Melanoma, DecisionDx-Melanoma, DecisionDx-CMSeq, and DecisionDx-PRAME among others.
Executives
Daniel Bradbury director BIOBRIT, LLC, 2223 AVENIDA DE LA PLAYA, SUITE 108, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Derek J Maetzold director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres. & Chief Exec. Officer 820 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 201, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Ellen Goldberg director C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, INC., 505 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 401, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Tiffany Olson director C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, INC., 505 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 401, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Kristen M Oelschlager officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, 505 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 401, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Bernhard E. Spiess officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, INC., 820 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 201, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Kim Caple director C/O BIOSCIENCES, INC., 505 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 401, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Frank Stokes officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, 820 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 201, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Tobin W Juvenal officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, 505 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 401, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
David S Kabakoff director, 10 percent owner C/O SPIROS DEVELOPMENT CORP II INC, 7475 LUSK BLVD, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Cook Joseph C. Iii director, 10 percent owner C/O CASTLE BIOSCIENCES, INC., 820 S. FRIENDSWOOD DRIVE, STE. 201, FRIENDSWOOD TX 77546
Mara G. Aspinall director 7381 NORTH MOON SPIRIT LANE, TUCSON AZ 85718
Bonnie H Anderson director 6000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Mgc Venture Partners 2013 Gp, Llc 10 percent owner C/O MOUNTAIN GROUP CAPITAL, LLC, 3835 CLEGHORN AVE., SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Mgc Venture Partners 2013, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O MOUNTAIN GROUP CAPITAL, LLC, 3835 CLEGHORN AVE., SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37203

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